The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 20 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Robinhood was insolvent and lacked capital during GameStop halt
“This company was insolvent. They did not have the capital requirements to post the margin that was being asked of them by their partners.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 3:29 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood was first to tokenize OpenAI and SpaceX shares
“We were actually, I think, the first to tokenize OpenAI and SpaceX, and we made that available to our retail customers in Europe in the form of a giveaway”
Vlad Tenev Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 4:48 Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev on tokenizing stocks, expanding access to private shares, fintech's future
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks: Robinhood will IPO at a $50B-$70B valuation
“Now they're going to be able to IPO at like a 50, 60, seventy billion dollar valuation”
David Sacks Jul 3, 2021 ▶ 21:57 E38: Bestie brawl, Robinhood's $70M fine & S-1, Delta variant, next gen candidates & more
Assertion Partly supported
Tenev: Brokers using third-party clearing firms faced identical deposit demands
“Well, I think a lot of the a lot of the other brokers who relied on clearing firms had the same issue, right? You know, there's firms like Apex Clearing which has introducing brokers Cash App, for example, clears through a third party as well, and they all had…”
Vlad Tenev Feb 13, 2021 ▶ 8:17 E22: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev breaks down the GameStop situation
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Most Robinhood users do not use leverage or trade options
“Most of our customers don't use leverage. Most of our customers aren't active traders or trading options”
Vlad Tenev Feb 13, 2021 ▶ 17:52 E22: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev breaks down the GameStop situation
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood shifted to intraday position limits across 50 stocks
“By Friday, we had moved to a much more sophisticated system where intraday we adjust the position limits in it was up to 50 stocks, and we published that on our website.”
Vlad Tenev Feb 13, 2021 ▶ 26:07 E22: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev breaks down the GameStop situation
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: DTCC demanded $3B in collateral from Robinhood
“The Depository and Trust and Clearing Corporation, which is Wall Street's main clearinghouse for stock trades demanded three billion dollars in additional collateral from Robin Hood, which they said was an order of magnitude more than usually required.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 3, 2021 ▶ 4:30 E20: Robinhood wrap up, Insiders vs. Outsiders, California's failing report card & how to fix it
Prediction Partly held up
Chamath: Robinhood is going to get sued into oblivion
“I think that what's going to happen is they're going to get sued into oblivion.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 45:38 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Prediction Held up
Calacanis: Robinhood will survive the GameStop trading crisis
“They will not be. They will get through this, and there has, this is an unprecedented black swan event, I think we would all agree.”
Jason Calacanis Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 19:06 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Prediction Held up
Chamath predicts Tenev will not allocate 100% of Robinhood IPO to retail
“100%, he will not.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 13, 2021 ▶ 43:06 E22: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev breaks down the GameStop situation
Assertion Supported
Tenev: SEC fine was for order flow disclosures, not gamification
“Yeah, well, so the fine wasn't for gamifying Robin Hood. It was for Payment for order flow and business model related related things. The gamification one is the Massachusetts securities securities one, which is a separate thing.”
Vlad Tenev Feb 13, 2021 ▶ 12:05 E22: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev breaks down the GameStop situation
Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Citadel handles 47% of payment for order flow volume
“Citadel is responsible for 47% of all the payment for order flow volume. They paid Robinhood almost sixty million dollars in the third quarter.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 14:27 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Robinhood expanded trading restrictions to nearly 40 stocks
“Robin Hood just tweeted that now the list of, ah, restricted names is now up to almost 35 or 40.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 44:09 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood offers public and private tokenized securities in the EU
“We've made both available to some extent in the EU.”
Vlad Tenev Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 12:50 Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev on tokenizing stocks, expanding access to private shares, fintech's future
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood holds over $250 billion in assets on platform
“We've got over a quarter trillion assets on the platform already”
Vlad Tenev Sep 15, 2025 ▶ 22:09 Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev on tokenizing stocks, expanding access to private shares, fintech's future
Prediction Held up
Friedberg: Robinhood is almost certain to offer IPO shares to customers
“I think it's almost certain they're going to give some of the shares available in the IPO to Robinhood customer.”
David Friedberg Feb 13, 2021 ▶ 44:44 E22: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev breaks down the GameStop situation
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood does not permit short selling by retail investors
“Robinhood actually doesn't allow short selling by individuals, but a lot of the other brokers do.”
Vlad Tenev Feb 13, 2021 ▶ 25:12 E22: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev breaks down the GameStop situation
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood options trading cannot be executed on margin
“Number one, you can't trade options on margin. So options are all fully paid for, right?”
Vlad Tenev Feb 13, 2021 ▶ 13:54 E22: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev breaks down the GameStop situation
Assertion Partly supported
Chamath: Robinhood previously faced liquidity crisis and drew credit lines
“This happened in March of, they went through this liquidity crisis. They've had to draw credit lines before.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 23:46 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Robinhood drew down debt and raised $1B in emergency equity
“And so in that circumstance, they drew down debt, and they had to go get a billion dollars of equity.”
David Friedberg Jan 30, 2021 ▶ 30:32 E19: Robinhood's GameStop decision: Why did it happen and how can it be prevented in the future?
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