The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Palihapitiya: Google market cap will drop 50% if search share drops 1%

“If you see perplexity or anybody else clip off 50 basis points or a hundred basis points of share in search. This thing is going straight down by 50%.”

Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 1, 2024 ▶ 23:01 E168: Can Google save itself? Abolish HR, AI takes over Customer Support, Reddit IPO teardown

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The Ledger

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