The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg says commercial AI models regurgitated his proprietary scientific queries
“I have had experience where we've asked some fairly novel scientific questions and it identifies it as a novel insight. Is that, oh, never thought about that. Be interesting. Like blah, blah, blah. And then using a different account asking the same model later…”
David Friedberg Sep 12, 2026 ▶ 1:12:15 AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Ohalo achieves 50% to 100% plant size gains versus industry's 1.5%
“In the corn seed industry, Breeders that are breeding corn are spending three billion dollars a year on breeding, and they're getting maybe one and a half percent yield gain per year. With our system, we are seeing 50 to a hundred percent jump in the size of t…”
David Friedberg May 17, 2024 ▶ 43:38 GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
Disclosure
Friedberg: The Production Board halts new investing to pivot entirely to Ohalo
“I'm not doing any new investing. Actually, a lot of folks moved into Ohalo or moved out to stop doing new investing, and then slowly we're kind of, as we have a liquidity event, we'll do a distribution, but the goal is for TPB To end up being a holding company…”
David Friedberg Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 44:43 Epstein Files Fallout, Nvidia Risks, Burry's Bad Bet, Google's Breakthrough, Tether's Boom
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Ohalo's boosted potato offspring yielded 682g compared to parents' 33g and 9g
“When you look under the ground and you harvest the potatoes, you can see that that AB potato only had 33 grams. CD had nine grams. So each parent had 33 and nine grams potato. But the boosted offspring had 682 grams of potato.”
David Friedberg May 17, 2024 ▶ 46:34 GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Ohalo's potato true seed technology can save farmers 20% of revenue
“So there's no potato seed industry today. And potato is like a hundred billion dollar market. With our system, not only can we make potatoes higher yielding and make them disease resistant, what we also make is perfect seed. So farmers can now plant seed in th…”
David Friedberg May 17, 2024 ▶ 49:19 GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
Disclosure
Friedberg: The Production Board invested nearly $40M into Ohalo before initial results
“We put close to forty million dollars into this project before these results started to come in.”
David Friedberg Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 46:58 Epstein Files Fallout, Nvidia Risks, Burry's Bad Bet, Google's Breakthrough, Tether's Boom
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Ohalo is ramping up production of true potato seeds
“The world's first true potato seed, and we are ramping up production.”
David Friedberg Aug 22, 2025 ▶ 4:00 AI Bubble Pops, Zuck Freezes Hiring, Newsom’s 2028 Surge, Russia/Ukraine Endgame
Disclosure
Friedberg: Ohalo spent over $50M during five years in stealth
“This was stealth for five years. We put a ton of money into this business. So when you invest, like I mean, north of 50.”
David Friedberg May 17, 2024 ▶ 51:16 GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Ohalo developed world's first true potato seed
“Farmers are planting our true seed world's first true seed of potato. Instead of planting 5000 pounds of chopped up potatoes, you plant a handful of seed. Completely changes the economics and the opportunity for potato farmers around the world.”
David Friedberg Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 2:02 Epstein Files, Is SaaS Dead?, Moltbook Panic, SpaceX xAI Merger, Trump's Fed Pick
Insight
Friedberg: Calling a business complex is usually a bad sign
“As one of my management team members told me today, it's a very complex business. That's usually not a good sign when the conversation starts with that.”
David Friedberg Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 3:26 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Ohalo is already generating revenue
“We're already revenue generating.”
David Friedberg May 17, 2024 ▶ 56:19 GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
Disclosure
David Friedberg shares his four-part framework for evaluating job applicants
“I have criteria around raw horsepower, skills or experience, and then motivation, and I have systems for how we try and assess those, and then matching our principles is kind of the fourth bucket of things.”
David Friedberg Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 1:37:11 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
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