why aren't all 40 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 5 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Sacks: The New York Times acts as the woke mob's enforcement wing
“They are the enforcement wing of the woke mob.”
Opinion
Sacks: NYT selectively targets right-coded tech figures in Epstein coverage
“The New York Times clearly has a list of people they consider approved targets. They're all right-coded. People like Elon or Peter Thiel and even J. Cal, Because of his association with us, I guess, and they become the targets, but the people who've donated hu…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: New York Times fabricated report of dinner with Jensen Huang
“There's just one problem with this narrative. There was no such dinner. We checked my schedule.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Media publisher AI content licensing deals have peaked in value
“This is the peak of these deals. These deals will only go down in terms of dollar value from here.”
Opinion
Naval Ravikant: New York Times content is worthless to an LLM
“I think the New York Times content is worthless to an LLM, but that's a different story.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: NYT pivoted to partisan activism to drive subscriber growth
“When Trump came in, a generation of new journalists became activist journalists. They didn't want to tell stories and take it straight down the middle and let the facts tell the story and let the audience make their own decision. They felt an existential risk.…”
Opinion
Sacks: NYT covered SBF more favorably than Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong
“Even after this fraud, the New York Times wrote more of a puff piece on him than the hit piece they wrote on Brian Armstrong last year, when Brian Armstrong wouldn't toe the line on allowing politics at work.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Greenwald: Donald Trump saved MSNBC and The New York Times from bankruptcy
“Back in 2015, most of these news organizations were on the brink of collapse. Every MSNBC host was on the verge of being fired, you know, a couple of months away from being fired because nobody was watching. The New York Times had severe financial difficulty. …”
Opinion
Calacanis: The New York Times adopted partisan coverage to boost subscriptions
“When the New York Times did this, they realized Fox picked aside MSNBC picks side and they benefited from that by picking aside in the Trump era. So the New York Times picked aside, they went MSNBC side, and they got rid of the right because the right people d…”
Opinion
Sacks: Elite media abandoned neutrality to target Trump, destroying public trust
“The media, starting with the New York Times and other sort of elite media, they ripped the umpire jersey off their backs to go after Trump. Well, they got him, but at what cost? Half the country will never trust them again. This makes conspiracy theories more …”
Assertion Supported
Leaked Amazon docs reveal plan to automate 75% of warehouses by 2033
“Internal docs viewed by the New York times showed Amazon plans to not hire. 600,000 plan jobs because of robots by 2033. So this isn't, they're planning on laying off 600,000 workers, but rather they're just pulling back their hiring plans and ramping up their…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2030
Calacanis: NYT will eventually make more from LLMs than ads or subs
“I think the New York Times will make more money from licenses from LLMs than they will make from advertising or subscriptions eventually.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Training data owners will be 2024's biggest business winners
“I am gonna go with, for my biggest winner in twenty-twenty-four, training data owners like the New York Times, Reddit, X, Twitter, YouTube, et cetera.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Calacanis: OpenAI will pay a nine-figure settlement to New York Times
“I think it's going to be a nine figure settlement for previous stuff, and then an ongoing licensing fee in order to have the New York Times in their training data.”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Dec 2023
Calacanis says NYT omitted 'financially' from Hunter Biden quote
“And the New York Times took out the word financially to make it more broad to say he's not been involved in my business.”
Opinion
Sacks: NYT reporters on strike are running a 'clickbait farm'
“The same reporters who couldn't stop writing About the oppressive working conditions that Elon Musk was supposedly creating because he simply wanted the employees to go back to the office and work hard. And if they didn't, he'd give them a generous three month…”
Opinion
Calacanis: NYT is treating Sam Bankman-Fried with kid gloves
“The New York Times continues to embarrass themselves by handling Sam Bankman fraud with kid gloves.”
Assertion Partly supported
Urban: James Bennet was fired for publishing Tom Cotton's op-ed
“We see James Bennett, the editor of the New York Times op-ed section, getting fired because he published an op-ed by Tom Cotton that 62% of the country agreed with, But it didn't jive with woke orthodoxy.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: The Hunter Biden laptop story was authenticated by major news outlets
“She also was active in trying to censor the Hunter Biden laptop story, which as it now turns out was not disinformation. It was absolutely true as acknowledged by the New York Times, the Washington Post.”
Opinion
Sachs: The New York Times is the most loathsome company
“The most lowestem company, I had the New York Times.”
Insight
Balaji: Legacy media will not reform; technology must replace it
“We didn't go and say, oh, Blackberry do better. Blockbuster do better. Barnes and Noble do better. We just replaced them, disrupted them with better technological versions. And so the idea that, oh, you know, New York Times do better. That's completely outmode…”
Opinion
The New York Times adopted anti-Trump bias to drive digital subscriptions
“I just thought the New York Times was just way too biased, and that they picked a side in order for their business to survive. And I actually believe that. I believe they picked the side of Trump, I'm sorry, the side of anti-Trump in order to get subscriptions…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: NYT Epstein article mentioned Reid Hoffman in only one sentence
“Reid Hoffman was only mentioned in one sentence along with three other people.”
Insight
Carolla: Newspaper candidate endorsements destroy editorial credibility like umpires picking teams
“The LA Times shouldn't announce an endorsement every year because now I don't believe you when you write the crappy article about the guy you didn't endorse and you write the glowing article about Kamala Harris. You've made a fool of yourself by announcing wha…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Chamath predicts New York Times faces major libel lawsuit by 2030
“The one thing that I think is worth talking about the New York Times is I think they will in the next five years do something so egregious and over the line, akin to some sort of libel or some sort of statement that it turned out to be completely false. They w…”
Assertion Contradicted
Weiss: 95% to 98% of New York Times readers are liberal
“Something like 95 to 98% of readers at the New York Times, and I'm choosing that only because it's the experience I know most intimately, regard themselves as liberals or progressives.”
Disclosure
David Sacks confirms he will speak at the Republican National Convention
“Well, I wasn't supposed to talk about that, but I saw that someone leaked it to the New York Times this morning, so it's out there. And yeah, I'm going to be speaking there next week.”
Assertion Supported
New York Times framed COVID lab leak proponents as conspiracy theorists
“The New York Times definitely Promoted the idea that anyone pushing the lab leak theory was somehow a conspiracy theorist or a nut.”
Opinion
Calacanis says misquoting Hunter Biden demonstrates NYT's decline in standards
“And to have to get called out on it to fix it just shows how far the New York Times has fallen.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Americans check social platforms before trusting The New York Times
“Now it's become, I think, where a lot of Americans are by default saying, let me read the tick, let me read the substacks, TikToks, and Twitter before I trust the New York Times.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: ByteDance internal probe confirmed employees accessed US reporters' data
“According to the New York Times, ByteDance, the Chinese parent company of TikTok, said on Thursday that an internal investigation found that employees had inappropriately obtained the data of US TikTok users, including that of two reporters.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks claims his tweets get 10-20x more reach than the NYT
“I didn't know that, but I just went over to the New York Times profile and my tweets are routinely getting 10 to 20 times more reach, more views than theirs.”
Assertion Contradicted
Calacanis claims Kara Swisher left NYT over pushback on podcast guests
“She left the New York Times specifically because they were, you know, giving her a hard time about certain guests or certain conversations.”
Assertion Partly supported
Greenwald: Polling shows over 90% of MSNBC and NYT consumers are Democrats
“You just look at polling data, that 95% of the people who watch MSNBC and 93% of the people who read the New York Times and trust it identify as Democrats.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Coinbase reached $85B valuation despite political ban and NYT refusal
“Apparently, Coinbase's ban on politics in the workplace and their refusal to submit to New York Times interviews did not prevent them from creating an eighty-five billion dollar company.”
Opinion
Sacks: Coinbase's preemptive blog post successfully neutralized The New York Times
“It was a really brilliant PR tactic by Coinbase because what it did is it almost like released a spike protein, you know, by sort of a pre-announcing New York Times story, it created this spike protein that trained the immune system of Silicon Valley to be rea…”
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Major national TV networks ignored the Minnesota daycare fraud story
“When we did our research, we did find a New York Times story last month, but none of the CNNs of the world have actually covered this”
Opinion
Friedberg: Non-public content used for AI training must be licensed
“You're a hundred percent correct. That should be paid for or licensed.”
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Amazon's $20M deal equals 1% of New York Times revenue
“That twenty million dollars from Amazon alone is one percent of the New York Times revenue, and that's going to go directly to the bottom line.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Calacanis predicts AI models will require publisher subscription authentication for search outputs
“And then ChatGPT and the New York Times should do a deal, and I predict they will do this, or with another language model that's smart enough to do it, where when you go to ChatGPT and you do a search from the New York Times, you say, what does the New York Ti…”