The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Chamath: Netflix will inevitably reach one billion subscribers in 7–8 years
“They're gonna get to a billion subscribers. It's just inevitable. And so for them, I do think it's a very rational business position to take, which is that I have to appeal to a billion people over the next, you know, seven or eight years.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 16, 2021 ▶ 1:01:51 E51: Supply Chain Shortages, Inflation, DeSantis, Ted Sarandos Netflix Memo, Cancel Culture, Fan Q&A
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2023
Calacanis: Amazon and Netflix will each buy a movie theater chain
“I think Amazon will buy one chain, I think Netflix buys the other.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 18, 2020 ▶ 21:35 E15: “The Besties” All-In’s inaugural award show covering the best, worst & most memorable of 2020
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2025
Calacanis predicts Disney+ will eventually pass Netflix in subscribers
“I think they pass them.”
Jason Calacanis Dec 18, 2020 ▶ 24:54 E15: “The Besties” All-In’s inaugural award show covering the best, worst & most memorable of 2020
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