The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Nadella reports over 30% ROIC for Microsoft token infrastructure
“Satya is out this week saying, you know, citing Morgan Stanley's report and saying they're seeing over a 30% return on invested capital in tokens as a service, right?”
Brad Gerstner Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 7:15 Google’s AI Brain Drain, SpaceX's Huge Quarter, Airtable’s 90% Collapse, US Data Fuels China AI
Assertion Supported
Gurley: Morgan Stanley study found regulation boosts incumbent market returns
“Conclude that landmark regulatory action has a tendency to improve returns for the largest players in the targeted industry.”
Bill Gurley Sep 16, 2023 ▶ 10:33 All-In Summit: Bill Gurley presents 2,851 Miles
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