The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Dr. Oz: South Florida has 20x more DME providers than McDonald's
“There's actually 20 times more in South Florida than McDonald's.”
Dr. Mehmet Oz Jan 24, 2026 ▶ 39:24 Dr. Mehmet Oz on Fixing American Healthcare + Fraud | Live from Davos
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Palihapitiya: McDonald's human workforce will dramatically decrease within a few years
“Within a few years unfortunately, you'll know a lot fewer people that work at McDonald's because the number of jobs for humans will be dramatically lower.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 1, 2022 ▶ 30:26 E94: NFT volume plummets, California's overreach, FBI meddling, climate change & national security
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Trudeau's asset freezes will drive Bitcoin adoption more than McDonald's
“This will do more than McDonald's accepting Bitcoin, because this is the first time like a Western democratic state is seizing people's funds like in an incredibly unfair, unnecessary way.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 19, 2022 ▶ 14:13 E68: Trudeau invokes emergency powers, Bitcoin vs. government, Tiger Global's new strategy and more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Automation will eventually eliminate cashiers, cooks, and baristas
“So the cashiers will be gone. The cooks will be gone. And eventually the baristas will be gone and it'll just be a couple of people.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 44:49 Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive
Opinion
Chamath: McDonald's is rewarded for prioritizing shareholders over customers
“They've been very motivated and rewarded as a company for just rewarding the shareholder and kind of screwing over the customer.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 24, 2024 ▶ 53:03 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: 96% of Americans eat at McDonald's annually
“96% of Americans eat meals at least once a year in McDonald's.”
Jason Calacanis May 24, 2024 ▶ 51:57 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: 8% of Americans eat at McDonald's daily
“Eight percent of Americans eat at McDonald's on an average day.”
Jason Calacanis May 24, 2024 ▶ 52:03 Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, a vibecession, plastic in our balls
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: McDonald's McChicken price rose from $1.29 to $3.89 by 2024
“End of 20 19, you could buy a McChicken for a buck 29, and in mid 2024, it was three dollars and 89 cents.”
Jason Calacanis Nov 8, 2024 ▶ 31:39 Trump wins! How it happened and what's next
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