The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg predicts legacy defense contractors will face severe challenges in 2025
“I went with the kind of old defense and aerospace providers, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon. Driven by kind of China dominance, driven by US defense budgets that I think are going to need to shift towards a more kind of tech oriented and ROI driven rational…”
David Friedberg Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 41:29 2025 Predictions: Tech, Business, Media, Politics!
Assertion Contradicted
Khanna: Lockheed Martin has $1.7T in F-35 cost overruns
“Lockheed Martin has gotten 1.7 trillion dollars of cost overruns on the F-thirty fives.”
Ro Khanna Nov 6, 2024 ▶ 18:49 2024 Election Night Livestream with the Besties!
Assertion Supported
Sankar: Lockheed was the largest Silicon Valley employer in the 1950s
“Lockheed was the largest employer in, in Silicon Valley in the 19 fifties.”
Shyam Sankar Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 4:50 The State of Modern War: Palantir & Anduril Execs on Drones, AI, and the End of Traditional Warfare
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Defense stocks gained up to 40% in 2022 despite market downturn
“Lockheed Martin, which makes Javelins and High Mars is up 40% in the past year when most of the market's been way down. Northrop Grumman's also up almost 40%. And even some of the lesser performers like Raytheon and General Dynamics are up about almost 20% in …”
David Sacks Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 23:46 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
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