The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: The US may only be months ahead of China in AI
“Kimmy K three just came out and people are saying it's now right up there. It's very, very close to the frontier. We may have months on China if that.”
David Sacks Jul 18, 2026 ▶ 1:18:32 Can the AI Industry Regulate Itself? Stripe Wants PayPal, China Catches Up, NY Bans Datacenters
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Moonshot's Kimi K3 matches GPT 5.6 at half the cost
“China's moonshot AI released Kimi K three. Open source model, obviously. Performance on par. On par. Not six months behind, not 12 months behind, but now on par with models like Opus 4.8 and GPT 5.6. Which in and of itself is extraordinary, but about 50% cheap…”
Jason Calacanis Jul 24, 2026 ▶ 0:33 The Fight Over Open Source AI, Anthropic's $1.5B Payout, NYC Socialists: Evictions = Violence?
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