The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Disclosure
Kalanick uses AI agents to autonomously bet on Kalshi and Polymarket
“I've got a side quest where I'm just investing. I have agents investing and betting on Kalshi and Polly and, you know, these other places. And it's silly how dumb the agents are, even their best agents, to be honest.”
Travis Kalanick Apr 17, 2026 ▶ 1:25:38 OpenAI's Identity Crisis, Datacenter Wars, Market Up on Iran News, Mamdani's First Tax, Swalwell Out
Assertion Supported
CFTC Chair Selig notes Kalshi enforcement over MrBeast insider trading
“And we saw, actually, recently, a call sheet, one of the prediction markets, brought two enforcement actions against participants. One involved A contract related to Mr. Beast's YouTube channel, where one of his employees insider traded based on information of…”
Michael Selig Mar 11, 2026 ▶ 21:56 They're Opening the Stock Market to Everyone. Here's What That Actually Means
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