why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
RFK Jr. claims over 320 medical experts fact-check all his posts
“So we have over 320 MD physicians, PhD scientists on my advisory board who see everything that goes out. And everything that I posted on Instagram was cited or sourced to a government database or peer-reviewed publication.”
Opinion
Buchheit: Meta faces existential threat as users switch from Instagram to ChatGPT
“Facebook has clearly fallen behind and that's a real threat, right? Because Facebook actually competes with AI. Like, people are switching from Instagram to ChatGPT.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Forced divestiture of Instagram would cripple Facebook
“And that, that's a tremendously threatening issue for Facebook, because if it is forced to divest Instagram, it would just be crippling for the company.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Meta sued every startup attempting to index its social graph
“Zuckerberg, please explain how this concept is compatible with the fact that you have sued every startup, many of which I've invested in, that has ever tried to index or use the social graph at Instagram or Facebook.”
Assertion Partly supported
Laffont: US TikTok time spent matches Facebook and Instagram combined
“So we get about a hundred million DAUs in the US, but the time spent on the platform is the equivalent of Facebook plus Instagram.”
Prediction Partly held up
Gerstner: Meta will launch major AI models and agents within six weeks
“Over the next four to six weeks. They're going to have massive launches out of the AI side of the business. I expect a lot more support for their open AI model or for their open LLM. I also think they're going to launch a bunch of agents on WhatsApp and Instag…”
Opinion
Sachs: Facebook's Instagram acquisition extended its monopoly into mobile
“When Facebook bought Instagram at that time, it didn't seem to be a problem, but it definitely allowed them to extend their monopoly from the desktop into mobile, and it probably should be scrutinized harder.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: A US TikTok ban will significantly benefit Meta, Instagram, and X
“If TikTok gets banned in the US, it's going to benefit Meta. It's going to benefit Instagram. It's going to benefit a few other, you know, social networks. It's going to benefit Elon at Twitter. There's a few folks that are going to benefit pretty significantl…”
Disclosure
Chamath: I ban my children from using major social media platforms
“My blunt force instruments are you're not allowed to have well, the ones that we've, we, they're not allowed to have TikTok, Snapchat, Facebook, Instagram, Twitter.”
Disclosure
Chamath reactivated dormant Meta accounts to fight AI impersonators
“I've actually had to reactivate my Facebook and Instagram accounts, which were dormant, so that we could actually have them be verified, so that then it's easier to shut them down”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Over 40% of Instagram's billion-plus users are under 22
“Instagram obviously is a juggernaut over a billion monthly active users and over 40% of them are under the age of 22.”