why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Traditional antitrust guidelines would allow Google to acquire HubSpot
“And I think that a Republican antitrust enforcer would probably be guided by market share considerations first and foremost. And so in this case, since Google does not have a CRM play, then based on a traditional definition of antitrust, they would be able to …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Google acquiring HubSpot would take three years for antitrust approval
“If it took Google almost two years to get a, an accelerometer on a wrist to prove from antitrust, this is going to take three years.”
Opinion
Calacanis: Google wants HubSpot for customer data, not a SaaS business
“That's what's actually happening here. It's, they don't want a SaaS business. They want the data. They want to retarget folks, and then they want to make, close more sales and be more efficient than TikTok and Facebook and Meta.”
Opinion
Chamath: HubSpot is not strategically valuable for Google
“I would not characterize HubSpot as strategically valuable for Google. I think it's an important ecosystem player, and it's probably better off as an independent company.”
Assertion Supported
Botha: Palo Alto, ServiceNow, HubSpot, and MongoDB scaled 10x post-IPO
“And by the way, even in more recent memory, if you look at the last ten-ish years, Palo Alto, ServiceNow, HubSpot, MongoDB, these companies have all been 10 Xers as public companies.”