The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Friedberg: Huawei will deploy undisclosed lithography to rival top chips by 2026
“My early prediction for 20, 26 is Huawei where I think that there's a lithography technology that exists in China that is not publicly discussed. That is going to be deployed in Huawei and all these fabs that they're building in mainland China. And Huawei can …”
David Friedberg Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 40:48 Epstein Files Fallout, Nvidia Risks, Burry's Bad Bet, Google's Breakthrough, Tether's Boom
Assertion Supported
Sacks: China is blocking Nvidia chips to subsidize and elevate Huawei
“I think Bloomberg and Reuters reported that they actually are not allowing Nvidia chips into their country, and the reason for that, we think, is that they want to indigenize chip production. They want to stand up Huawei as their national champion, and effecti…”
David Sacks Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 30:35 Inside America’s AI Strategy: Infrastructure, Regulation, and Global Competition
Prediction Partly held up
Friedberg: Huawei will challenge Nvidia in 2026 using undisclosed lithography tech
“My early prediction for twenty-twenty-six is Huawei, where I think that there's lithography technology, that exists in China that is not publicly discussed, that is going to be deployed in Huawei and all these fabs that they're building in mainland China.”
David Friedberg Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 1:02:28 Bernie Sanders Says Stop All AI, China's Breakthrough, Inflation Down, Golden Age in 2026?
Assertion Supported
Feldman: Huawei clobbered the U.S. in developing world telecommunications
“They clobbered us in Africa. They clobbered us in the developing world. They absolutely ran the table.”
Andrew Feldman Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 1:09:49 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
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