The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chamath: Hoover simulation shows California billionaire tax creates $25B deficit
“The Hoover Institution basically ran this Monte Carlo simulation. They ran a 100,000 runs, and in 71% of those runs, it comes out with a negative NPV, and if you expected value it out, It's about a twenty five billion dollar hole.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 1:11:29 Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
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