The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Emil Michael: Grok is deployed across classified and unclassified military networks
“Grok's all in. For all lawful use cases across all classified and unclassified networks”
Emil Michael Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 52:10 War with Iran + Pentagon vs Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
Assertion Supported
Lafont: ChatGPT maintains over 80% market share against AI rivals
“It really is a dominant kind of franchise, right? It is maintaining 80% plus market share.”
Thomas Laffont Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 1:14:17 Trump's First Week: Inauguration Recap, Executive Actions, TikTok, Stargate + Sacks is Back!
Assertion Partly supported
Palihapitiya: Input token costs range from $56 to $0.50 per million
“A million tokens on fable is about sacks, 56 bucks. A million from soul is about 26 bucks, which is the same as cloud for eight. A million input tokens from on grok is about a dollar 50. Zucks is about a dollar 50, Elon's about a dollar, and the Chinese models…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jul 18, 2026 ▶ 48:06 Can the AI Industry Regulate Itself? Stripe Wants PayPal, China Catches Up, NY Bans Datacenters
Assertion Supported
Chamath: Meta is about to launch a standalone app competing with ChatGPT
“And Facebook is about to launch a competitor to ChatGPT and Grok, yeah. A standalone app.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Mar 8, 2025 ▶ 1:29:55 Tariffs, Trump's Economic Endgame, Market Chaos, Bitcoin Reserve, CoreWeave IPO
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