The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Friedberg: GPT-4o outperforms GPT-4 on benchmarks but trails Claude 3 Opus
“And you can see the scorecard here that GPT four Oh actually outperforms GPT four. And so this goes counter to some of the narrative that in order to get some of the performance improvements and speed improvements they got in four Oh, that they actually made t…”
David Friedberg May 17, 2024 ▶ 19:17 GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
Prediction Held up
Sacks: OpenAI will release GPT-4 within several months
“GPT-IV is coming out, I think in the next several months, and it's supposedly, you know, a huge advancement over version three.”
David Sacks Feb 17, 2023 ▶ 1:09:37 E116: Toxic out-of-control trains, regulators, and AI
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