The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Chamath predicts Google Search will lose 10% to 15% usage in 2023
“So I think that, you know, Google could lose 10 or 15% of usage to all these other sites. And that may not make any of those sites that relevant, but it'll have a material measurable impact to Google”
Chamath: ChatGPT is running away with market share in AI search
“And whether we like it or not, and whether they like it or not, the reality is that ChatGPT is running away with it.”
Sacks: Gemini answer boxes will eat the rest of Google search
“It's very clear now that Gemini powered one box is the future of Google search. People just want the answer. I think that this feature is going to eat the rest of Google search.”
Friedberg: Google Search ranking relies on significant manual intervention
“And it was always the secret at Google. How did the search results get ranked? And I can tell you, it's not just a pure algorithm that there was a lot of manual intervention, a lot of manual work.”
Friedberg estimates a ChatGPT query costs 30 cents, 10x traditional search
“A recent estimate on running the GPT three model for chat GPT is that each result takes about 30 cents of compute. So it's about an order of magnitude higher cost to run that search result than it is to do it through a traditional search query.”