The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 7 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Arora: Google will be the first $10 trillion company
“I think Google's underrated. I think it's going to be the first 10 trillion dollar company in our lifetime.”
Calacanis: Google will make top Gemini models free for life
“They're going to make Gemini free for life for the best models. That's my prediction for Google, and I think Meta will be right behind them.”
Chamath: Google will eventually be broken up into separate units
“Where it lies is this business is in a position where you can probably demarcate four or five logical business units. Again, I'm not saying that it should happen, but it will happen.”
Chamath: Section 230 protections for major tech platforms are numbered
“But if I was a betting man, which I am, I think that section two 30 is, their days are numbered, and Facebook, Twitter, Google, all these companies are going to have to look more like newspapers and television stations.”
Calacanis: Apple will launch its own search engine to compete with Google
“I believe Apple's gonna launch their own search engine and compete heads up with Google, and so I think that's gonna be the very interesting thing that happens in this market.”
Calacanis: Apple will buy a search engine and expand its advertising network
“My prediction is Apple buys a search engine and they go it alone and expand their advertising network like Amazon, Uber, and other companies have.”
Sacks predicts Alphabet will reach $5 trillion market cap despite missteps
“They can make 10 mistakes, but their monopoly is so strong that they can finally get it right by copying the innovator, and they're probably gonna become a five billion dollar company now. Sorry, five trillion dollar company.”