why aren't all 65 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Google's $100M acquisition of Applied Semantics built its revenue engine
“I left Google in in 2006, and a lot of the infrastructure that makes Google's you know, revenue engine was acquired. You know, we bought a company called Applied Semantics for a hundred million bucks, or a hundred something million dollars at the time which ul…”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Google owns significant stakes in SpaceX and Anthropic
“They have a significant ownership stake in SpaceX and in Anthropic, and they can work with all the open weights models.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis notes Google's revenue hit $350 billion despite a shrinking headcount
“Right now, they are in 2025 at 187,000. They were at 190,000 people in 2022. And their revenue has just gone from 283 to three hundred fifty billion in basically three years.”
Assertion Supported
Hassabis says billions of people now interact with Google Gemini models
“So, you know, billions of people now interact with Gemini models, whether that's through AI overview, AI mode, or the Gemini app.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Google has 5 or 6 products with over 2B users each
“Now you have over two billion people using, I think, six products or five products have over two billion.”
Assertion Supported
Pichai: Former Google employees have started over 2,000 companies
“I'm equally proud of the fact that I think Google has left to start over 2000 companies, right?”
Assertion Supported
Arora: Yahoo Japan and Google run separate ad systems on Google search
“In Japan today, Yahoo Japan is powered by Google, and Google's powered by Google, but the advertising systems are different, hence it's non-competitive.”
Assertion Supported
Brin: Google AI achieved a silver medal score at the Math Olympiad
“Like the International Math Olympiad that we participate in, we got silver medal as an AI, actually one point away from gold.”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Google Cloud generated $10.3B revenue and $1.2B profit last quarter
“GCP in the last quarter did 10.3 billion in revenue, which is up from eight billion in revenue the year before in the same quarter the year before. And importantly, in this past quarter, they're running at a 1.2 billion dollar operating profit out of GCP.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Wiz reached $500M ARR and $12B valuation prior to Google offer
“Wiz was valued at twelve billion in its most recent funding round. They've got about five hundred million in ARR.”
Assertion Supported
JCal: Seven tech stocks drive most of 2023 stock market gains
“Seven stocks make up the mo- most of the gains this year. Meta, Tesla, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Apple.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Google Cloud achieved profitability for the first time in Q1 2023
“Google announced a seventy billion dollar stock buyback plan and that their cloud unit was profitable for the first time in its history.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Alphabet stock fell 12% following AI demonstration
“They dropped 12% since this event.”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Google invested over $1B in Waymo before self-driving was accepted
“Look at what Google did with Waymo. They put over a billion dollars in that project before everyone woke up and said, my God, self-driving is real.”
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Google used open-source Android to secure search dominance
“Google made Android open source. And by making the Android operating system open source, They were able to have their own forked versions that they were able to install on phones with partners like HTC and Samsung and others that they could then have their sea…”
Assertion Supported
Chamath Palihapitiya: Google revenue grew from $3B to $66B under Nikesh Arora
“Revenue went from three billion. I checked this actually just to make sure cause I have it staggering to sixty six billion when you left.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis notes Google's PaLM 2 will power 25 products
“Google's language model is going to power. 25 products, including Bard, which is got coding capabilities now, I guess to go up against GitHub's co-pilot.”