The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Musk: Existing Tesla AI4 hardware will reach 2-3x human safety
“I am confident that the current chips AI, AI four chips that are in the cars will achieve self-driving safety that is at least two to three times that of human and maybe even X and the software that will be released for that is, is coming out over the next few…”
Elon Musk Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 15:36 Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding
Disclosure
Mark Cuban stopped using Tesla FSD because it terrified him
“I have, but I stopped using it just because it terrified me because it doesn't know what adversarial things it doesn't know.”
Mark Cuban Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 2:04:31 Mark Cuban: Love/Hate Relationship with Trump, Why He's Backing Kamala Harris
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kalanick: Tesla Hardware 5 will probably launch next year
“Hardware five is coming out on Tesla probably next year, which is going to make a big difference in what FSD can do.”
Travis Kalanick Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 25:35 Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs
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