why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Thiel calls Founders Fund's European venture investments vacation junkets
“We've probably tried to do too much investing in Europe. Over the years, it's always sort of a junket, sort of, it's a nice place to go on vacation as an investor.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Raboy: Founders Fund and Khosla Ventures differ fundamentally in entry valuations
“Almost every successful investment of founders fund over eight funds was invested at a five hundred million dollars or more entry valuation. And almost every single investment at KV in eight funds was like the seed or series a investment with very few exceptio…”
Disclosure
Chamath chose Khosla's Series B offer over a16z and Founders Fund
“I had offers from I guess I'll say it, Founders Fund and Andreessen Horowitz for my Series B. Vinod gave me the lowest valuation, and I still took his offer.”
Disclosure
Rabois: Founders Fund avoids leading down rounds unless cap table unanimously requests it
“We typically at Founders Fund really don't like to do those rounds. The only way we would consider it is pretty much if everybody on the cap table called us up, the founder, CEO, the board members, prior investors said, we really want you to do this, and like …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Leading consecutive rounds and marking up portfolio companies drives top returns
“The guys that are known for doing this like Sequoia and Founders Fund and others have had incredible returns by doing exactly this. So the strategy does work.”
Opinion
Calacanis: Peter Thiel is one of the greatest investors across business and politics
“Best investor for me was Peter Thiel, but on two tracks. Obviously Peter's been in some of the great companies through Founders Fund, including SpaceX, but he also picked Trump, he also picked Vance, and he also picked Sachs, so I think it's undeniable that Pe…”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Founders Fund halved its $1.8B eighth fund into two $900M funds
“It's a 1.8 billion dollar fund. They're going to break it into two, nine hundred million dollar funds. It's their eighth fund. It's being cut in half and it'll become eight and nine.”
Disclosure
Rabois led zero new startup investments in the first half of 2022
“I haven't led any new investments since 22. Yeah, last year I led the 13 or 14 in a year. So to go to effectively zero for half the year is like me being on vacation.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Founders Fund invested in OpenAI at $29B valuation, avoids other AI deals
“Founders fund bought into open AI. At a twenty nine billion dollar valuation, but aside from that investment, they're generally avoiding the AI deals.”
Disclosure
Rabois: Founders Fund marks down growth investments using public comps
“It's very tricky. I think you can, if you, it, later stage one's a little bit easier because you can apply multiples. There's public comp, you know, public comps, and you just adjust to that. I think the earlier stage stuff, very difficult to do objectively. A…”
Disclosure
Friedberg took Khosla's lower Series B valuation over a16z and Founders Fund
“I had three term sheets for my Series B. It was from Andreessen Horowitz, Khosla Ventures, and Founders Fund. And Founders Fund came in kind of last minute. But I went with Khosla, even though it's a lower valuation”
Disclosure
Stephens: Founders Fund made one defense investment in his first three years
“I met with hundreds of companies in the first three years that I was at Founders Fund. We may ended up making one investment in KDM, which was renamed Expanse and acquired by Palo Alto Networks.”