The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic CPO resigned from Figma board days before rival launch
“Anthropic's chief product officer had actually even served on Figma's board and didn't resign until three days before the launch of Claude Design.”
David Sacks Jul 3, 2026 ▶ 6:10 AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chamath predicts Adobe's $20B acquisition of Figma will close
“If you asked me, if I was a betting man, I think this thing is going to close.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 31:55 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis cites Figma's S-1 metrics: $228M Q1 revenue, $1.5B cash, zero debt
“Figma filed their S one Q one revenues, two hundred and twenty eight million. You remember they were going to get bought by Adobe before, before it got stopped. And they have thirteen million monthly active users, a billion and a half in cash, no debt.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 1:09:51 Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
Assertion Supported
Friedberg: Figma generated $95M free cash flow in Q1 with 130% NRR
“They ran a 43% operating cash flow margin in Q-one. So in Q-one of this year, Figma generated ninety-five million dollars of free cash flow. They've got net revenue retention of like a 130%.”
David Friedberg Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 1:15:50 Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
Assertion Contradicted
Calacanis: Adobe's Figma deal is the largest private company acquisition in history
“It's the largest private company purchase I believe in history.”
Jason Calacanis Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:21 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Figma CEO Dylan Field retains 75% voting power
“CEO Dylan field has 75% voting power.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 1:10:05 Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
Prediction Partly held up
Calacanis: Figma aims to raise $1.5 billion in its IPO
“Figma is going to try to raise 1.5 billion in their IPO.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 4, 2025 ▶ 1:10:17 Big Beautiful Bill, Elon/Trump, Dollar Down Big, Harvard's Money Problems, Figma IPO
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