The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya declares DraftKings and FanDuel are 'toast' due to Polymarket
“You can see, by the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 20:37 NBA Gambling Scandal, Billionaire Tax, Tesla's Future, Amazon Robots, AWS Outage, Dangerous AI Bias
Assertion Supported
Chamath: FanDuel and DraftKings report asymmetric obscure bets to leagues
“The thing with all of these sites, FanDuel and DraftKings is they did deals with the leagues where part of the feature is that when there is really crazy asymmetric betting on something that's obscure, they reported back to the leagues so the leagues know how …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 1:15:46 Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal
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