The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya declares DraftKings and FanDuel are 'toast' due to Polymarket
“You can see, by the way that DraftKings and FanDuel stock have reacted to this, those companies are toast.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 24, 2025 ▶ 20:37 NBA Gambling Scandal, Billionaire Tax, Tesla's Future, Amazon Robots, AWS Outage, Dangerous AI Bias
Assertion Supported
Chamath: FanDuel and DraftKings report asymmetric obscure bets to leagues
“The thing with all of these sites, FanDuel and DraftKings is they did deals with the leagues where part of the feature is that when there is really crazy asymmetric betting on something that's obscure, they reported back to the leagues so the leagues know how …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 1:15:46 Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal
Disclosure
Nate Silver says DraftKings and BetMGM limited his betting accounts
“So I've been limited by DraftKings and MGM.”
Nate Silver Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 3:57 Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading, President AOC?!
Disclosure
Portnoy: Gambling bets are made with personal funds, not sponsor money
“No, it's my own money.”
Dave Portnoy Sep 17, 2024 ▶ 47:37 Dave Portnoy: How He Bought Back Barstool for $1 | The All-In Interview
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Portnoy: DraftKings offered him stock when it only had four employees
“DraftKings, when there were four people, they offered me stock in the company.”
Dave Portnoy Sep 17, 2024 ▶ 13:07 Dave Portnoy: How He Bought Back Barstool for $1 | The All-In Interview
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