why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Driving, delivery, and warehouse jobs will inevitably be automated away
“If you think about the average American citizen, you know, they have somebody in their family who drives for Uber or DoorDash, they have truck drivers, they have Amazon factory workers, and all those jobs are going away. It's just a matter of when.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis predicts massive consolidation between Tesla, Uber, Waymo, and delivery apps
“I think the age of autonomy is here, and I think there is going to be Some partnerships that will happen between Amazon, DoorDash, Uber, Tesla, Waymo, and that cohort, and I would not be surprised to see Tesla could buy Uber right now for but 10% of its market…”
Assertion Supported
Kalanick: Uber Eats and DoorDash represent only 2% of US meals
“Uber Eats and DoorDash, they represent like 1.8% or two percent of all meals right now.”
Opinion
Chamath: DoorDash has the biggest upside among delivery and platform stocks
“Now, I think of all the three businesses, Dash probably has the biggest upside, quite just like, again, Parm's length. I don't own any of these three stocks. I'm just saying business model quality, Dash seems infinitely scalable.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Travis Kalanick claims US food delivery apps are copying old Chinese features
“A lot of the innovation you will see coming out on Uber Eats or DoorDash Like the stuff that's coming out now is stuff that existed three years ago, four years ago in China, maybe longer.”
Prediction Partly held up
Calacanis predicts consumer comfort services like DoorDash and Uber will thrive in 2024
“I'm going to go with consumer comfort services. I think as austerity measures and this, whether we have a soft landing or a recession, it's clear the consumers have spent all their money. So they're going to go for small luxuries like DoorDash, Airbnb, Uber, s…”
Assertion Partly supported
Palihapitiya: Instacart public comps fell 50% to 70% from 2021 highs
“You know, the comps to Instacart are off anywhere between 50 and 70%. You know, takeaway is off 70%. Uber is down 60%. DoorDash was down 55%.”
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Sequoia's top recent portfolio exits exceed $300B combined valuation
“Over the past two years, they've had DoorDash, Airbnb, Snowflake, Unity, all these incredible companies worth over three hundred billion dollars combined.”