The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Sacks: DeepSeek's compute cluster costs over $1 billion
“You add up the cost of a compute cluster with 50,000 plus hoppers, and it's going to be over a billion dollars. So this idea that you've got this scrappy company that did it for only six million, just not true. They have a substantial compute cluster that they…”
David Sacks Feb 2, 2025 ▶ 7:58 AI Czar David Sacks Explains the DeepSeek Freak Out
Assertion Supported
Brin admits DeepSeek's release closed the gap with proprietary AI models
“Deep Seek released a really surprisingly powerful model when it was January or so. So that, that definitely closed the gap to proprietary models.”
Sergey Brin May 20, 2025 ▶ 19:21 Sergey Brin, Google Co-Founder | All-In Live from Miami
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Grok 3 has eclipsed Gemini, DeepSeek, Claude, and ChatGPT-4o
“Grok III has now eclipsed Gemini, which is Google's LLM, and DeepSeq from China, Quad, and ChatGPT-IVO.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 22, 2025 ▶ 1:28:14 The Stablecoin Future, Milei's Memecoin, DOGE for the DoD, Grok 3, Why Stripe Stays Private
Assertion Supported
Chamath Palihapitiya says DeepSeek's chain-of-thought proves its model was distilled
“So the reason why this is happening is like, you're seeing this chain of thought, you're seeing the several layers, and then it's catching it after the fact. So we know that this is distilled from some other model.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 31, 2025 ▶ 32:01 DeepSeek Panic, US vs China, OpenAI $40B?, and Doge Delivers with Travis Kalanick and David Sacks
Assertion Supported
Sacks: DeepSeek release erased $1 trillion in market cap in one day
“It's rare that a model release is going to be a global news story or Cause a trillion dollars of market cap decline in, in one day.”
David Sacks Feb 2, 2025 ▶ 0:26 AI Czar David Sacks Explains the DeepSeek Freak Out
Assertion Supported
Palihapitiya: DeepSeek created GRPO algorithm to slash AI memory requirements
“They invented a totally different algorithm. There was the orthodoxy. Right? This thing called PPO that everybody used, and they were like, no, we're going to use something else called, I think it's called GRPO or something. It uses a lot less computer memory,…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 2, 2025 ▶ 9:55 AI Czar David Sacks Explains the DeepSeek Freak Out
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