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The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Emil Michael: Anthropic's AI coding lead will disappear in 12 months
“I believe in 12 months codex is not going to be close.”
Emil Michael Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 55:04 War with Iran + Pentagon vs Anthropic with Under Secretary of War Emil Michael
Opinion
Friar: Would probably not hire finance professionals who cannot use Codex
“It would be like I would never hire a finance person. Didn't know how to use Excel and it pretty much probably wouldn't hire a finance person today. It doesn't know how to use a tool like codex.”
Sarah Friar Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 11:05 OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: IPO, AI Rivalries, New Device, and Spending $100B+ on Compute
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Friar: OpenAI Codex reached 5 million users from near zero in January
“Codex just hit five million over the weekend. We're really proud of that. Coming from almost zero in January.”
Sarah Friar Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 4:45 OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: IPO, AI Rivalries, New Device, and Spending $100B+ on Compute
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