The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 56 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brad Gerstner claims ChatGPT has a 10-to-1 mindshare lead over Google Bard
“The number of people I interact with on a global basis who talk about chat GPT versus barred is like 10 to one today.”
Brad Gerstner Jun 16, 2023 ▶ 47:32 E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner
Opinion
Sacks prefers ChatGPT over Google Bard due to accuracy concerns
“I'm not seeing a reason to use this over chat GPT. I prefer chat GPT so far.”
David Sacks May 12, 2023 ▶ 13:58 E128: Google enters AI wars, Druck’s warning, Trump crushes CNN & more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: ChatGPT must integrate web browsing into its core functionality
“Clearly, ChatGPT is going to have to make the browsing, browsing plugin much snappier, and like much more part of the core functionality rather than something that's like an add-on.”
David Sacks May 12, 2023 ▶ 14:07 E128: Google enters AI wars, Druck’s warning, Trump crushes CNN & more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Web scraping for AI will necessitate an 'AI.txt' protocol
“ChatGPT is not allowed to because you, as you brought up robots.txt last week, there's going to need to be an AI.txt.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 21, 2023 ▶ 41:59 E125: SpaceX launch, Fox News settlement, "Zombie-corn" exodus to AI, late-stage implosion
Disclosure
Calacanis invested $500K for 10 percent in a ChatGPT wrapper startup
“Serial founder and team that we've backed for that had an exit said, can I show you something? I said, yeah, got on the zoom, showed me a little proof of concept using chat GPT. And he said, this is my idea. This is the vertical. And I just said, okay, what do…”
Jason Calacanis Mar 3, 2023 ▶ 23:26 E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: OpenAI updated ChatGPT to limit relationship advice and prompt breaks
“OpenAI saw this becoming an issue and they made some healthy use updates to ChatGPT. It's no longer going to tell you whether or not To break up with your boyfriend, to leave your spouse, it prompts you to take a break after long sessions.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 5:26 AI Psychosis, America's Broken Social Fabric, Trump Takes Over DC Police, Is VC Broken?
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Gerstner: 600 startups at Snowflake summit built ChatGPT apps on Snowflake data
“There were 600 applications. So new startups that applied for their startup contest. They were each using an application of chat GPT built on top of Snowflake data. 600 new companies.”
Brad Gerstner Jul 9, 2023 ▶ 23:54 E136: Hacking the pod, Threads launches, Fed minutes, immigration, balloon farce, heart health
What-if
Sacks: ChatGPT reduced blog research and writing time from a week to a day
“A blog that probably would have taken me a week to research and write if I had done it at all, I was able to do in a day.”
David Sacks Mar 31, 2023 ▶ 10:15 E122: Is AI the next great computing platform? ChatGPT vs. Google, containing AGI & RESTRICT Act
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