The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Chamath: Reported venture capital IRRs are 'bullshit' unrealized paper markups
“They're not. These are all markups. Paper markups. These are not distributed. These are all bullshit numbers.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 1:39 Every Investor Needs To Understand This Concept - David Friedberg
Assertion Supported
Sacks reveals Carta SaaS generated $250 million while brokerage made $3 million
“The SAS business is doing something like two hundred fifty million a year of revenue and the broker business was only doing a few million. Yeah. Three million.”
David Sacks Jan 13, 2024 ▶ 1:00:29 E161: US strikes Houthis, market instability, Q1 rate cuts in doubt, Carta's major mishap, DEI
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Over 40% of 2018 VC funds have made no distributions
“Over 40% of 20 18 vintage funds have not made a single distribution yet”
Jason Calacanis Sep 20, 2024 ▶ 48:11 Big Fed rate cuts, AI killing call centers, $50B govt boondoggle, VC's rough years, Trump/Kamala
Disclosure
Palihapitiya reveals he sold all his Carta equity in a secondary deal
“Now in full disclosure, I was a Carta investor. I sold all my equity in a secondary transaction, actually.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 13, 2024 ▶ 39:10 E161: US strikes Houthis, market instability, Q1 rate cuts in doubt, Carta's major mishap, DEI
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