why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Chamath: ULA, Blue Origin, and European launch providers are too inconsistent to rely on
“You can't launch with ULA because they're inconsistent. You can't launch with Blue Origin because they're inconsistent. You can't launch with the Europeans in general because they're inconsistent. SpaceX is the only solution”
Opinion
Sacks calls Jeff Bezos's spaceflight decision a foolish idea enabled by sycophants
“Quite frankly, I think this is a brain fart that the people around him are telling him smells like perfume and they should be telling him, dude, what are you thinking?”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Friedberg predicts Jeff Bezos will announce he is becoming Blue Origin CEO
“My prediction is Bezos is going to come back, and he's going to announce that he's going to be the CEO of Blue Origin.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Ackman: Amazon will have to become an even bigger SpaceX customer
“Even Amazon is going to have to become an even bigger customer because they're not, you know, Blue Origins, you know”
Insight
Chamath: Filing lawsuits alienates the top technical talent Blue Origin needs
“In order for Jeff to achieve his ambitions, he needs deeply technical people. And this is the simplest way to basically turn them off because this is not what technical people do.”
Opinion
Calacanis: Bezos mocking Virgin Galactic's spaceflight was ungraceful and bitter
“It's just totally classless. It shows that Bezos has a competitive streak, which is just not Graceful, I would say. And I think there's a little bit of bitterness there.”
What-if
Calacanis: 5% to 10% of Blue Origin test flights would have been fatal
“Blue Urgent's done 20 some odd flights, two of which went south and probably would have existed resulted in death. So I think five to 10% of Blue Urgent's fight flights would have killed.”