why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Chamath: Bitcoin ETFs are days away and Bitcoin will reach mainstream adoption in 2024
“We are probably days away from a series of ETFs being approved And so this is the moment for Bitcoin to use that old term, cross the chasm, and really see mainstream adoption, where our parents and our grandparents understand what it is, can buy it, and then d…”
Prediction Held up
Chamath: Bitcoin will drop another 5% to 10% after breaking $100k
“Bitcoin is about to break through a 100,000 to the downside, which I think is a psychological barrier that probably has another five or 10% more to run.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Winklevoss twins donating $1M each in Bitcoin to Trump
“I heard the Winklevoss brothers are actually announcing That they're donating a million dollars each in Bitcoin to you tomorrow.”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: The May 2021 Bitcoin crash is a good buying opportunity
“This is probably a pretty good buying opportunity. We've seen these crashes and Bitcoin many, many times over the years, it plummets down and then it goes back up and it eventually goes back up and reaches a new peak. So this is probably a pretty good entry po…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Epstein asked Jason Calacanis for intros to Bitcoin founders in 2011
“What happened was that Jason hosted an episode of This Week in Startups, roughly, I think, in 2011 with a couple of the Bitcoin core founders, and then Epstein reached out to him for an introduction to those people.”
Assertion Supported
Chamath: In 2012, I advised investing 1% of net worth in Bitcoin
“And i wrote it about bitcoin and i said everybody should put one percent of their net worth into bitcoin and i said it's basically schmuck insurance”
Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Bitcoin was the best-performing asset class of the last decade
“Bitcoin was the best performing asset class of the last decade.”