The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Chamath: Bitcoin ETFs are days away and Bitcoin will reach mainstream adoption in 2024
“We are probably days away from a series of ETFs being approved And so this is the moment for Bitcoin to use that old term, cross the chasm, and really see mainstream adoption, where our parents and our grandparents understand what it is, can buy it, and then d…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 6, 2024 ▶ 1:10:05 E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
Prediction Held up
Chamath: Bitcoin will drop another 5% to 10% after breaking $100k
“Bitcoin is about to break through a 100,000 to the downside, which I think is a psychological barrier that probably has another five or 10% more to run.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Nov 7, 2025 ▶ 45:07 Does OpenAI Need a Bailout? Mamdani Wins, Socialism Rising, Filibuster Nuclear Option
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Winklevoss twins donating $1M each in Bitcoin to Trump
“I heard the Winklevoss brothers are actually announcing That they're donating a million dollars each in Bitcoin to you tomorrow.”
David Sacks Jun 20, 2024 ▶ 1:09 In conversation with President Trump
Prediction Held up
Sacks: The May 2021 Bitcoin crash is a good buying opportunity
“This is probably a pretty good buying opportunity. We've seen these crashes and Bitcoin many, many times over the years, it plummets down and then it goes back up and it eventually goes back up and reaches a new peak. So this is probably a pretty good entry po…”
David Sacks May 22, 2021 ▶ 1:01:52 E33: Apple’s hypocrisy, America fails math, crypto’s regulatory correction, Clubhouse, UFOs & more
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Epstein asked Jason Calacanis for intros to Bitcoin founders in 2011
“What happened was that Jason hosted an episode of This Week in Startups, roughly, I think, in 2011 with a couple of the Bitcoin core founders, and then Epstein reached out to him for an introduction to those people.”
David Sacks Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 4:14 Epstein Deep Dive: Prince Andrew Arrested, Global Network, Mythology, Reid Hoffman Files
Assertion Supported
Chamath: In 2012, I advised investing 1% of net worth in Bitcoin
“And i wrote it about bitcoin and i said everybody should put one percent of their net worth into bitcoin and i said it's basically schmuck insurance”
Chamath Palihapitiya Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 23:59 Binance CEO: 4 Months in Prison, $4 Billion Fine, and What Comes Next
Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Bitcoin was the best-performing asset class of the last decade
“Bitcoin was the best performing asset class of the last decade.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 23, 2026 ▶ 5:27 Coinbase CEO's Top 3 Crypto Trends for 2026 + More from Davos!
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 460 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.