The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Chamath: Bitcoin ETFs are days away and Bitcoin will reach mainstream adoption in 2024
“We are probably days away from a series of ETFs being approved And so this is the moment for Bitcoin to use that old term, cross the chasm, and really see mainstream adoption, where our parents and our grandparents understand what it is, can buy it, and then d…”
Chamath: Bitcoin will drop another 5% to 10% after breaking $100k
“Bitcoin is about to break through a 100,000 to the downside, which I think is a psychological barrier that probably has another five or 10% more to run.”
Chamath: Breaking Bitcoin's SHA-256 encryption requires roughly 8,000 logical qubits
“We need about 4000 to break RSA, 20, 48. And we need about 8000 to break SHA two of 56, which is the underlying encryption framework for Bitcoin.”
Chamath: A Trump victory will push up gold, Bitcoin, equities, and rates
“And if Trump wins, which it looks like he's increasingly going to do, and if he wins by the margins that it looks like it's going to do, you're going to see a lot of these things exacerbate. Gold's going to go up more probably. Bitcoin will probably go. The sh…”
Sacks: Winklevoss twins donating $1M each in Bitcoin to Trump
“I heard the Winklevoss brothers are actually announcing That they're donating a million dollars each in Bitcoin to you tomorrow.”
Sacks claims Bitcoin is the only cryptocurrency without an issuer
“It's the only one that doesn't have an issuer, right?”
Sacks: The May 2021 Bitcoin crash is a good buying opportunity
“This is probably a pretty good buying opportunity. We've seen these crashes and Bitcoin many, many times over the years, it plummets down and then it goes back up and it eventually goes back up and reaches a new peak. So this is probably a pretty good entry po…”
Sacks: Epstein asked Jason Calacanis for intros to Bitcoin founders in 2011
“What happened was that Jason hosted an episode of This Week in Startups, roughly, I think, in 2011 with a couple of the Bitcoin core founders, and then Epstein reached out to him for an introduction to those people.”
Chamath: In 2012, I advised investing 1% of net worth in Bitcoin
“And i wrote it about bitcoin and i said everybody should put one percent of their net worth into bitcoin and i said it's basically schmuck insurance”