The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Wood: ARK Invest's bull-case price target for Bitcoin is $1.5 million
“Our official for bull case is 1.5 million.”
Cathie Wood Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 9:45 Cathie Wood on How AI Can Double GDP, Bull Case for Bitcoin $1M, Elon’s Trillion-Dollar Pay Package
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2031
Ray Dalio predicts central banks will not buy or hold Bitcoin
“Central banks are not going to want to buy Bitcoin and being able to hold it.”
Ray Dalio Mar 3, 2026 ▶ 21:14 Ray Dalio: "AI Is Eating Everything - and It Might Eat Itself"
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