The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Feldman: Intel and AMD captured zero market share in mobile chip compute
“Share changed when cell phone compute emerged, and Intel and AMD who had fabs and the best architects got zero share, and it all moved to ARM.”
Andrew Feldman Jun 6, 2026 ▶ 22:04 The IPO Comeback: Why Tech Giants Are Finally Going Public | All-In Liquidity IPO Panel
Assertion Supported
Haas: Nvidia is an Arm customer rather than a direct competitor
“NVIDIA is a customer of ours, so I'm not gonna say Jensen is my competitor today.”
Rene Haas Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:12 Arm CEO Rene Haas on AI: Nvidia Lessons, Intel’s Decline and the US-China Chip War
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Instacart, Klaviyo, and Arm floated under 10% in IPOs
“Instacart's float was 6.7%, and Klaviyo's float 7.6. Arms float almost hit the 10%, 9.4”
Jason Calacanis Sep 22, 2023 ▶ 30:04 E146: Did the Fed break the VC model? Plus IPOs, M&A, revaluing unicorns & more
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Arm revenue fell 1% in FY2023 to $2.7B
“Arm's revenue last quarter, six hundred seventy five million down two percent year over year. Up seven percent quarter over quarter. Fiscal full year, 20, 23, 2.7 billion ish, down one percent year over year.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 37:46 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
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