The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Apple Vision Pro will boost greenhouse worker productivity by 10x
“And I was like, man, literally every aspect of this job will be massively improved and productivity will go up by 10 X. With these goggles.”
David Friedberg Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 4:45 E165: Vision Pro: use or lose? Meta vs Snap, SaaS recovery, AI investing, rolling real estate crisis
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Friedberg: Apple will reach $100B in Vision Pro sales within five years
“I think they're going to sell a hundred billion dollars of Apple vision pros, not this version, but this version plus the next version probably over the next. I would guess for them to get to a hundred billion in sales, it'll take them less than five years.”
David Friedberg Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 14:28 E165: Vision Pro: use or lose? Meta vs Snap, SaaS recovery, AI investing, rolling real estate crisis
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Apple Vision Pro will eventually usher in a new computing platform
“It feels like the Apple Newton. It's definitely gonna usher in kind of a new computing platform, but it's definitely not prime time ready, as we saw with the sales.”
David Friedberg Dec 25, 2024 ▶ 1:04:11 The All-In Holiday Spectacular
Opinion
Calacanis: Apple Vision Pro is an enterprise device
“I think this is an enterprise device.”
Jason Calacanis Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 18:00 E165: Vision Pro: use or lose? Meta vs Snap, SaaS recovery, AI investing, rolling real estate crisis
Disclosure
Chamath: I abandoned the Apple Vision Pro after exactly one day
“No, I used it for a day or a night when we were playing poker, and I've never used it again since.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Sep 27, 2024 ▶ 1:04:47 OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Spatial computing headsets will eventually shrink into normal smart glasses
“It's really a proof of concept. Look, I think it's a great thing for innovation that they're starting with this, you know, like you said, expensive headset that maybe is not that ergonomic, but eventually it'll come down and the form factor will be glasses or …”
David Sacks Feb 2, 2024 ▶ 7:19 E164: Zuck’s Senate apology, Elon's comp package voided, crony capitalism, Reddit IPO, drone attack
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Apple Vision Pro hardware setup prevents easy device sharing
“In order to log in, you know, it does like a eye scan. Or you have to have like a lock in like login like you do with your phone, but then you got to reset the eye because it automatically sets the eye position. So when you put on someone else's headset, you g…”
David Friedberg Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 18:18 E165: Vision Pro: use or lose? Meta vs Snap, SaaS recovery, AI investing, rolling real estate crisis
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