The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Chamath: OpenAI is diversifying inference hardware across AMD, Nvidia, and Cerebras
“What I can tell you is that OpenAI is aggressively trying to diversify so that they have multiple paths Of inference available. They have a huge deal with AMD. They have a huge deal with Nvidia. They now have a huge deal with Cerebris.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jan 17, 2026 ▶ 33:13 Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, and Solving Energy Costs
Assertion Supported
Jason Calacanis: AMD granted OpenAI warrants for 160M shares
“AMD granted OpenAI warrants And that's interesting for up to a hundred and sixty million shares or 10% of the companies.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 44:31 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Assertion Supported
Calacanis claims OpenAI committed to 6 gigawatts of AMD GPUs
“OpenAI committed to purchasing six gigawatts worth of AMD's next-gen GPUs.”
Jason Calacanis Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 44:25 Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
Assertion Supported
Lisa Su: AMD produced its first 4nm chips at TSMC Arizona
“We've been very early in Arizona with TSMC, and we did get our first chips out they're actually four nanometer”
Dr. Lisa Su Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 14:59 Winning the AI Race Part 3: Jensen Huang, Lisa Su, James Litinsky, Chase Lochmiller
Assertion Supported
Feldman: Intel and AMD captured zero market share in mobile chip compute
“Share changed when cell phone compute emerged, and Intel and AMD who had fabs and the best architects got zero share, and it all moved to ARM.”
Andrew Feldman Jun 6, 2026 ▶ 22:04 The IPO Comeback: Why Tech Giants Are Finally Going Public | All-In Liquidity IPO Panel
Assertion Supported
Lisa Su: AMD's MI355 chip has 185B transistors and takes nine months
“It's our MI-tri-fifty-five chip. One hundred and eighty-five billion transistors. Takes about nine months to build.”
Dr. Lisa Su Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 14:21 Winning the AI Race Part 3: Jensen Huang, Lisa Su, James Litinsky, Chase Lochmiller
Assertion Supported
Chamath: 13Fs show hedge funds and family offices long Nvidia and AMD
“And it turns out if you look at their 13 Fs, they're all long NVIDIA and AMD.”
Chamath Palihapitiya May 19, 2023 ▶ 9:15 E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's "nuclear" potential, big pharma bundling & more
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