The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Ray Dalio: Gold is the world's third-largest reserve currency
“Gold is the third largest reserve currency, by the way. Dollars euros, gold, and then yen.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 23:47 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
Assertion Partly supported
Dalio: All commodities decline in real terms over long periods
“Commodities, by the way, in real terms, all commodities, every single commodity, in real terms over long decline, long periods of time have declined because of productivity.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 30:24 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
Assertion Supported
Dalio: China accounts for 33% of global manufacturing output
“They own 33% of all world manufactured goods, which is more than the combined U.S. German and Japanese manufactured goods, Chinese produce more.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 36:34 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
Assertion Partly supported
Dalio: US equities delivered negative real returns from 1966 to 1984
“And from 1966. Until 1984, you had a negative real return.”
Ray Dalio Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 40:28 Ray Dalio: US Debt Spiral, How to Avoid Disaster | The All-In Interview
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