why aren't all 76 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Sachs: Fauci participated in suppressing COVID-19 origin investigation
“Fauci, with respect to COVID, we talked about it before, 100% participated in a suppression of the investigation into the origins of COVID. There was an active attempt to suppress that.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Biden administration AI policy leaders immediately joined Anthropic
“The leaders of the Biden administration's AI policy, not just one of them, but all of them, went to go work at Anthropic, like, the minute the Biden administration was over.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden administration pressured social networks to censor content
“And I would say President Trump, because I do think that that, President Trump's election definitely changed the direction of free speech in the United States, never mind the rest of the world, because I think under the Biden administration, we now know from c…”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: California's $24B homeless spending is massive, unauditable fraud
“For example, in California, we have twenty four billion dollars going to quote unquote homeless programs, and yet the number of homeless people keeps rising. And, you know, everyone knows it's called the homeless industrial complex. They can't pass an audit. T…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Pre-acquisition Twitter admin tools had checkboxes to shadowban accounts
“So anyway, he calls, and basically what he told me was that all the conspiracy theories are true, that we've now gone into the admin tools that the trust and safety team was using, and they literally have check boxes to throttle accounts based on, exclude them…”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Steele dossier was a hoax and basis of Russia 2016 probe
“We also know that the Steele dossier was a hoax, and that was the whole basis once laundered through the FBI and that whole investigation, that somehow the Russians had interfered in the 2016 election.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: DeepSeek's compute cluster costs over $1 billion
“You add up the cost of a compute cluster with 50,000 plus hoppers, and it's going to be over a billion dollars. So this idea that you've got this scrappy company that did it for only six million, just not true. They have a substantial compute cluster that they…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Joe Rogan's Trump interview was suppressed in YouTube search
“There's no question that just as a factual matter, this episode was suppressed in YouTube search.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Vladimir Putin publicly announced an endorsement of Kamala Harris
“Putin just came out today and announced his endorsement of Kamala Harris.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman's political advisor claimed Trump shooting was staged
“Some people like Reid Hoffman's political hack was actually claiming that it was all staged, which is just unbelievably ridiculous.”
Assertion Contradicted
Furin cleavage site proves SARS-CoV-2 was engineered in a lab
“The fear and cleavage site makes it clear that this was a lab leak. That's not a naturally occurring virus. The fear and cleavage sites were engineered.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: 51 former intel officials published bogus letter suppressing Hunter Biden story
“Because 51 former intelligence officials who still maintain close relationships with the intelligence community published a bogus letter saying that it was Russian disinformation, which it wasn't, and then that caused our social media sites to suppress it.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks notes an email shows intelligence letter was a Biden talking point
“There's an email now that just came out. Where Mike Morrell is corresponding with John Brennan, and Morrell specifically says, we're creating the letter to give Biden a talking point in the debate.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: U.S. Ukraine spending run rate exceeds the Afghanistan war rate
“I know the spending run rate of this war is actually greater than what we did in Afghanistan and Afghanistan ended up being a. 20 year multi-trillion dollar operation that just flushed all that money down the drain.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: FBI warned social networks to suppress authentic Hunter Biden laptop story
“A very important piece of this was the pre-bunking that the FBI went to Facebook and Twitter and social networks and said, be on the lookout for a story about Hunter Biden. It is Russian disinformation. And they primed these social networks to suppress that st…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: FBI knew Hunter Biden's laptop was authentic in 2019
“The FBI was given the laptop in 2019 by the lap store, store owner. Those guys have forensics. They have cyber experts. They knew the laptop was real. We know it's real now. Nobody questions that. In fact, the FBI has admitted that the laptop was real and that…”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Intelligence officials falsely claimed Hunter Biden laptop was Russian disinformation
“There was a letter with this Hunter Biden thing. This is a 2020 election, Jason. We're not going back two elections ago. I wanted to talk about the most recent one. You had Clapper. You had Comey. You had 50 of these security state officials. They write a lett…”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: SBF gave zero donations to the Republican Party
“How many donations did he give to the Republican party? None.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Mar-a-Lago search warrant affidavit was not about nuclear secrets
“No, they've backed off that completely. It was not in the affidavit. It's not about nuclear. That was something they leaked to get them through a tough press cycle.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Snake Island Ukrainian soldiers surrendered rather than dying fighting
“That was fake. Okay, you had Snake Island where the 13 Ukrainian soldiers said we're gonna bring us death rather than surrender. It turns out they actually surrendered.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts a Democratic midterm landslide defeat if focused on Jan 6
“And if you and the Democrats keep talking about this and focus on it, on MSNBC, to the exclusion of the issues that really matter I'll see you in November because you're gonna get slaughtered in this midterm election. It's gonna be a landslide.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks asserts more U.S. COVID deaths occurred under Biden than Trump
“More Americans have already died from COVID under Joe Biden than Donald Trump.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Chesa Boudin has not successfully prosecuted a single murder trial
“Listen, Chesa has not had time. He's almost two years in office now, and he has not had time to successfully prosecute one murder trial, not one, but his office has time to run down whatever they were trying to run down with J-Cal.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Empty Minnesota daycare centers received millions in public funding
“All it took was a YouTuber with a video camera to actually show up at the Minnesota daycare centers that were receiving millions of dollars. Yeah, the Leering Center. They're all empty. Dozens of them. Each one's receiving millions of dollars.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Trump rescinded Biden's AI regulations during his first week in office
“And the first thing President Trump did his first week in office was rescind all of those unnecessary regulations, which I think was absolutely critical.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: US AI deal requires matching investment in US infrastructure
“So for every dollar of investment they make in terms of building out data centers in the region, they have to invest a dollar in the United States in building out our AI infrastructure.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Middle East AI deal mandates 80% US cloud provider ownership
“Number two is even with respect to the data centers they're going to build in the region, at least 80% of the chips have to be owned and operated by American Cloud service providers or American hyperscalers.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Biden's DOJ sued Virginia over removing non-citizens from voter rolls
“Right now you've got Biden's DOJ is literally suing the state of Virginia, which is required by Virginia law to clean the voter rolls of illegal immigrants. And they've been doing that. And Biden's DOJ has sued to stop that.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Tim Walz set up a COVID hotline punishable by 90 days in jail
“He set up a COVID-spitch hotline so people could rat out their neighbors for leaving the house or having dinner parties or walking their dog without a mask. And it was real. I mean, violators could be punished by 90 days in jail.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Secret Service had snipers on a roof more sloped than the shooter's
“They did have snipers on another roof that was more sloped.”
Assertion Contradicted
David Sacks asserts no guns were present at the Capitol on January 6
“I'm just clarifying that there were no guns at the Capitol because that's a lie.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Jake Sullivan claimed the Middle East was peaceful before October 7
“Literally a week or two before October seventh, you had Jake Sullivan saying the Middle East has never been more peaceful.”
Prediction Held up
Sachs: Tech giants will comply with EU DSA rather than exit
“Europe is too big a market for Google or any other major tech company to exit. There's just no way. What they're going to do is comply.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: VCs just funded a startup to fulfill Theranos's original promise
“Now, J.Cow, another company just got funded to do the same thing that Theranos promised it was going to do.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Banking contagion had already spread beyond SVB to First Republic
“The contagion was absolutely real, and I don't think people outside Silicon Valley could understand that because they weren't in those Friday morning emergency phone calls and board meetings That were happening. So we know it was, it had already moved so far b…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Florida has not banned books, only regulated school curricula
“They haven't banned any books in Florida, but the question is what books are taught in the curriculum and what's in the school library.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: U.S. federal tax receipts have never exceeded 20% of GDP
“We've never ever been able to get more than 20% of GDP in federal tax receipts, even during the 19 seventies when the top marginal rate was 70%.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Musk did not change Twitter content moderation rules post-acquisition
“The truth is Elon hasn't even had a chance To change anything about the content moderation policies. He's posted that, like, guys, I haven't even, I haven't changed anything about content moderation. Whatever the rules are, they're the same rules that existed …”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Fed will 100% solve inflation by raising interest rates high enough
“We are 100% going to solve this inflation problem. Why do I say that? Because Price levels are fully within the power of the Fed. They just have to raise interest rates high enough.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Tiger Global has deployed all of its capital
“Tiger's already deployed all of its capital.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: The Hunter Biden laptop story was authenticated by major news outlets
“She also was active in trying to censor the Hunter Biden laptop story, which as it now turns out was not disinformation. It was absolutely true as acknowledged by the New York Times, the Washington Post.”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Multiples and valuations are going to come down
“There's no question that multiples and valuations are going to come down. And there's a lot of younger founders and investors who never lived through a bear market or a down cycle, and they're about to get a rude awakening.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Kyle Rittenhouse did not transport a rifle across state lines
“He did not cross state lines with the rifle.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Only 5% of Coinbase employees took severance over apolitical policy
“Well, only five percent took the policy.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sachs: No socialist regime has ever taken power without an authoritarian leader
“None.”
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Trump CFO Allen Weisselberg will not flip on Donald Trump
“It does look like persecution rather than prosecution, and what they're trying to do is they're going after this guy, Wesselheim, to squeeze him to try and roll over on Trump. Well, good luck with that. That's about as likely To happen as Putin releasing the p…”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: California has higher COVID deaths per capita than Florida
“We now have certainly more cases. We have more deaths and we have more deaths per capita than Florida, despite the fact that Florida has no lockdowns and a much older population.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Mark Zuckerberg contributed $11M to California's Proposition 15 campaign
“So so I saw that, that Mark Zuckerberg had contributed eleven million dollars to try and convince the people of California to vote for this prop 15, which is the largest property tax increase in California history.”