The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Allison: Patriot missile defense systems intended for Ukraine were redirected to the Middle East
“All the patriots that were to hope to prevent missile strikes from Russia on Ukraine are now In the Middle East.”
Graham Allison Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 15:28 “This is Bibi’s War” - Harvard’s Graham Allison on the Influences and Endgame of the Iran War
Assertion Partly supported
Allison: Tencent AI rivals GPT-4 in science but fails on political queries
“Tencent's AI machine is a pretty good competitor for GPT-IV in the science or math, but if you ask a question about, you know how do freedom-centered societies perform, it can't answer that question, because the thought of Xi Jinping says this.”
Graham Allison Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 23:46 All-In Summit: In conversation with Graham Allison
Assertion Partly supported
Graham Allison: China's economy is 25% larger than US by PPP
“Today, by pursuing power parity, it's 25% larger.”
Graham Allison Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 34:43 “This is Bibi’s War” - Harvard’s Graham Allison on the Influences and Endgame of the Iran War
Assertion Partly supported
Graham Allison: China's GDP grew from 10% to 75% of US GDP
“China was, at the beginning of the century, 10% of the U.S. GDP. Today it's three quarters of the U.S. GDP.”
Graham Allison Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 9:07 All-In Summit: In conversation with Graham Allison
Assertion Supported
Allison: Natural gas supplies about half of Taiwan's electricity
“About half of their electricity comes from their natural gas”
Graham Allison Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 15:11 “This is Bibi’s War” - Harvard’s Graham Allison on the Influences and Endgame of the Iran War
Assertion Partly supported
Graham Allison: China accounts for over half world's factory robots
“More than half of the working, the factory worker robots in the world are in China.”
Graham Allison Mar 9, 2026 ▶ 38:17 “This is Bibi’s War” - Harvard’s Graham Allison on the Influences and Endgame of the Iran War
Assertion Partly supported
Allison: 1960s textbook falsely claimed Soviet economy would overtake US by 1970s
“Samuelson was the, you know, basically for economics, it says, by the seventies, the Soviet Union will have overtaken the US economy.”
Graham Allison Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 22:23 All-In Summit: In conversation with Graham Allison
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