why aren't all 659 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman told Peter Thiel he wished Trump was a martyr
“Just days before the shooting, Peter Thiel and Reid Hoffman had an exchange at Allen and company that was publicly reported. In which Peter said that Reed had turned Trump into a martyr by funding lawfare, and Reed responded, I wish I had turned him into an ac…”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Blinken told Russia US wanted Ukraine in NATO with nuclear weapons
“And you know, it turns out that the month before the Russians invaded, Blinken told Lavrov that the administration was not only going to bring Ukraine into NATO, but that they thought it was okay for the United States to put nuclear weapons in Ukraine.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: COVID-19 patient zero was a Wuhan lab gain-of-function researcher
“Patient zero, it turns out was a researcher at the Wuhan lab. Who was performing gain of function research?”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic CEO refused White House request to take down Fable
“They tried to call Anthropic, They tried to call Dario, and there were a number of conversations, and the TLDR of it is Dario refused, meaning refused their request to take down Fable until this jailbreak could be fixed.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Stolen Minnesota fraud money is round-tripped back to politicians
“There's some round tripping here where some of the funds that are going into the pockets of the Somali community through this fraud end up back in the hands of politicians.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Gov. Tim Walz changed Minnesota's flag to resemble Somalia's
“And the really extreme example of this is that Tim Walts even changed the flag of Minnesota to resemble the Somali flag. I mean, he lowered the old flag and raised this new flag to that resembles the Somali flag, which shows the political clout of this communi…”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Left-wing NGOs laundered over $100M of public money for Antifa
“These NGOs have laundered over a hundred million dollars of our money to fund terrorist violence in our streets.”
Assertion Contradicted
Fauci knew early in February 2020 that COVID leaked from lab
“Fauci knew very early, as early as February first of 2020, that COVID came from a lab leak.”
Assertion Supported
Fauci funded Wuhan lab gain-of-function research via EcoHealth
“Because he had funded gain-of-function research programs via Peter Daszak and the EcoHealth Alliance to conduct, again, gain-of-function research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: 70% of the world blames the US equally for Ukraine
“70% of the world's population does not believe this narrative about the Ukraine war. They understand that the U.S. Is at least equally responsible for this war.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Bill Gates admits COVID-19 vaccines do not work
“Even Bill Gates admits now that the vaccine doesn't work. It's too short acting and it doesn't hold up against variants.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: RESTRICT Act allows $1M fine and 20-year prison terms for VPN TikTok access
“What the act provides is that a US citizen using a VPN to access TikTok could theoretically be subjected to a maximum penalty of one million in fines or 20 years in prison or both.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts elites and media will stop Musk from acquiring Twitter
“Elon is gonna be thwarted by these folks. He's not gonna get control of this company. They're, the vested interest in stopping him by the board, by the new CEO, and by the corporate media and the political elites is too great. They will find a way to stop him.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks claims a Democratic super PAC astroturfed the viral Rogan video
“If you kind of look at you know, who's behind this clip, it's pretty clear that it was a democratic super PAC, put this together, and sort of astroturfed it as a viral video.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic Lobbied to Restrict Nvidia's International Chip Sales
“Anthropic has really been behind a lot of the political activity to restrict Nvidia's sales internationally.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic iterated prompts over 200 times in AI blackmail study
“Remember when Anthropic did the whole blackmail study, you know, where supposedly an agent displayed independent goal-seeking behavior and then blackmail an employee. It turned out that actually they iterated on the prompt over 200 times to get to that result.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic's ARR grew from $10 billion to over $70 billion
“They started the year at ten billion of ARR. They're now over seventy billion of ARR.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Anthropic CPO resigned from Figma board days before rival launch
“Anthropic's chief product officer had actually even served on Figma's board and didn't resign until three days before the launch of Claude Design.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Gavin Newsom signed a bill making California election audits virtually impossible
“Gavin Newsom just signed a law making it virtually impossible to audit any of this stuff.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Anthropic ARR reached $44 billion in April 2026
“First, we find out that from January first to March 31st, they grew from Roughly ten billion of ARR to thirty billion, so it tripled. And then in April, if anything, the rate of increase seemed to accelerate. They went from 30 to forty-four billion of ARR.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: SPLC turned $270K Charlottesville investment into $81M in fundraising
“They increased the amount of money that they were able to fundraise by eighty one million dollars. So that 270,000 dollar investment led to an eighty one million dollar return.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks asserts Anthropic lobbied against US-backed Gulf AI data center projects
“In the case of the GCC data centers, Anthropic was adamantly opposed to that, and they were lobbying against it, and they were, again, salting the earth against Those projects.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks asserts Iran's army, navy, and air force are destroyed
“Their army, navy, air force all been destroyed.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Sacks predicts AI will increase demand for knowledge workers
“As you may recall on the prediction show for this year, my most contrarian belief is that AI would increase demand for knowledge workers, not put them out of business.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: All recent net job gains went to native-born Americans
“All the job creation has been enjoyed by native born Americans as well. All the job loss has been on non native born Americans, which is pretty Remarkable.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Reid Hoffman is mentioned 2,600 times in Epstein files
“The number one person in the Epstein files from Silicon Valley, which is Reid Hoffman, mentioned 2600 times, had a multi-year relationship with Epstein.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sachs: Minnesota released roughly 470 convicted illegal immigrants last year
“Last year, there was something like 470 convicts, ok, illegal aliens, criminals. And I'm not talking about that their crime wasn't breaking into the country. I'm talking about subsequent crimes that were released In Minnesota, so they cannot be rounded up by I…”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Rep. Ilhan Omar went from negative net worth to multi-millionaire
“But still, she went from negative to being a multi-millionaire in two years.”
Assertion Contradicted
David Sacks: 50% of Stanford students claim disabled status for test accommodations
“At Stanford, they said that if you're disabled, you get more time on tests, and you can kind of be unproctored, and kind of... Accommodations. Right. So now, 50% of students at Stanford say they're disabled.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Vitalik Buterin's dog coin donation gave Future of Life $600M
“He donated his dog coins to Future of Life. They ended up being worth six hundred million dollars. So by this- Almost like this accident, this Doomer think tank ends up with a six hundred million dollar war chest, and they've been funding these journalism fell…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Hundreds of anti-AI front orgs are funded by three billionaires
“She has shown that there are hundreds of these front organizations, and they're all really just funded by a few big tech billionaires. It's Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallinn, and Vitalik Buterin.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Moskovitz, Tallinn, and Buterin gave over $1B to AI doomers
“Three big tech billionaires who are on the left contributed over a billion dollars to these Doomer think tanks. Basically, it was Dustin Moskovitz, Jan Tallon, and Vitalik Buterin.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Most San Francisco homeless individuals moved there from outside the city
“The homeless we have in San Francisco are not predominantly from San Francisco. They're from all over the country, all over the surrounding area. They come here for the benefits.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Donald Trump ended seven wars in seven months
“President Trump has ended seven wars in seven months before this one.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Rutgers poll shows 50% of left-of-center respondents justify Trump or Musk murder
“50% of left of center said yes. 14% of right of center said yes. Even that number is shocking to me.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Rutgers study shows 60% of left-of-center respondents justify destroying Tesla dealerships
“Then they asked about destroying Tesla dealerships and protests, whether that could be justified, and roughly 60% of left of center said yes, and 23% of right of center said yes.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Powell initiated 50-bps rate cut after Elizabeth Warren demanded it
“Powell started the rate cutting cycle last fall with a 50 basis point cut right before the election shortly after Elizabeth Warren sent him a letter demanding a cut.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Twitter Files showed Hamilton 68 tracked regular domestic accounts, not Russians
“During the Twitter files, we found out there was Yoel Roth, who you mentioned was the head of trust and safety, and definitely not a conservative. There was correspondence inside of Twitter saying, hey, we looked at their so-called API, and these are just regu…”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Declassified records show Brennan overrode analysts to include Steele dossier
“Brennan was like the head of the CIA. He received an intelligence assessment from the organization in which they said, look, there's nothing to this. It's bogus. We haven't. Not just the Steele d'Ossie, but the whole idea of somehow that the Russians had run t…”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Gallup poll shows Ukrainian support for continuing war collapsed to 24%
“A year ago, support for the war was in the sixties or seventies. Now it's collapsed to 24%. So the vast majority of Ukrainians now want a resolution to the conflict, even if it means making concessions.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Ukraine has canceled elections, press freedom, and imprisoned political opponents
“They cancel elections, they cancel freedom of the press, they cancel freedom of religion. Zelensky's political opponents, their assets have been seized, they've been in prison.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Left-wing activists are firebombing Tesla dealerships to depress sales
“You have crazy leftists firebombing Tesla dealerships painting swastikas on Tesla cars, accosting Tesla drivers. Okay. Creating violence and chaos and trying to depress Tesla sales.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: FBI used 'Teleport' tool to transmit instructions to Twitter
“The FBI had their own tool called teleport, which would allow them to transmit secret instructions to the trust and safety team at Twitter.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Tim Walz rejected Donald Trump's offer to deploy National Guard
“He wanted to send in the National Guard to Minnesota. It was actually Waltz who rejected the National Guard.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Over 10 million migrants entered US under Biden-Harris
“Something like 10, over ten million migrants have entered the country during the Biden-Harris administration.”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: ABC News coverage was 100% positive for Harris, 93% negative for Trump
“And if you look at like, for example, ABC news, 100% of the coverage by ABC news is positive. Whereas something like 93% of their coverage on Trump is negative.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: DOJ memo concluded Trump did not meet legal bar for January 6 incitement
“In the wake of January six, Merrick Garland's Justice Department did an analysis of whether Trump could be prosecuted for incitement, whether he incited that mob, and the legal memo came back, and they said, no, we don't have a case here. It does not meet the …”
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Media coverage was 84% positive for Harris, 89% negative for Trump
“The media's coverage of the Harris campaign was 84% positive, whereas the coverage of the Trump campaign was 89% negative.”