The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Friedberg: Energy monetization ramp-up won't cover US deficit within 4 years
“But I'm not sure that the ramp up is gonna be fast enough to make up for the deficit over the next four years.”
David Friedberg May 17, 2025 ▶ 1:16:00 Trump's Big Week: Middle East Trip, China Deal, Pharma EO, "Big, Beautiful Bill" with Ben Shapiro
Prediction Held up
Friedberg predicts Trump might skip all primary debates and win
“I don't know if he's going to show up. I don't know why he would, if he's up. I mean, it would be, it would just be such a Trump move to just not show up to any of these debates and just like get elected.”
David Friedberg Aug 26, 2023 ▶ 1:34:01 E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more
Prediction Held up
Friedberg: Trump should recover quickly from COVID due to antibody therapy
“These you know taking these antibodies to the coronavirus, and he got eight grams of this immunoglobulin therapy that is basically a bunch of antibodies that'll eliminate the virus, and they're not widely available, they're not publicly available, these treatm…”
David Friedberg Oct 3, 2020 ▶ 1:57 E9: Trump has COVID, First debate reactions, Coinbase letter response & more
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