The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Friedberg: Energy monetization ramp-up won't cover US deficit within 4 years
“But I'm not sure that the ramp up is gonna be fast enough to make up for the deficit over the next four years.”
Friedberg predicts Waymo will execute a major financing, IPO, or merger
“You could see something happen with Waymo this year that could either be something like a massive financing, an IPO, or a merger or acquisition with one of the big ride-sharing companies. I don't know if that makes as much strategic sense as I've thought about…”
Friedberg: Ukraine could see up to an 80% decline in planted acres
“There is an expectation that we could see up to an 80% decline in planted acres in the Ukraine”
David Friedberg predicts Stripe will execute the largest tech IPO in history
“And so Stripe's IPO could be the biggest tech IPO ever. I think they've been talking about doing a direct listing. By the way, I don't know the guys. I don't know the investors. I don't know the company. I'm not an investor. So I don't have any information wha…”
Friedberg: Market could drop 30-40% if Democrats win Georgia runoffs
“If the Democrats look like they're getting much more money into the state and they're actually gonna, you know, get people to the polls and to the voting booths and actually get into this runoff on January fifth and actually flip get both of those seats to be …”
Friedberg predicts Trump might skip all primary debates and win
“I don't know if he's going to show up. I don't know why he would, if he's up. I mean, it would be, it would just be such a Trump move to just not show up to any of these debates and just like get elected.”
Friedberg: Trump should recover quickly from COVID due to antibody therapy
“These you know taking these antibodies to the coronavirus, and he got eight grams of this immunoglobulin therapy that is basically a bunch of antibodies that'll eliminate the virus, and they're not widely available, they're not publicly available, these treatm…”