The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 230 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 6 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

What-if
Sacks: Removing NATO expansion could have prevented Russia-Ukraine war
“And in fact, there was still an opportunity before this war to prevent the war by taking NATO expansion off the table.”
David Sacks Feb 17, 2024 ▶ 1:41:46 E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks predicts Vladimir Putin will be 2024's biggest political winner
“My prediction for biggest political winner in twenty-twenty-four is Vladimir Putin.”
David Sacks Jan 6, 2024 ▶ 4:26 E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
Opinion
Sacks names Volodymyr Zelenskyy as biggest political loser of 2023
“My biggest loser in politics for this year is Vladimir Zelensky, the president of Ukraine.”
David Sacks Dec 29, 2023 ▶ 12:03 E159: The Bestie Awards! Recapping the best and worst of 2023
Opinion
Sacks: Mainstream media conspiracy theories can be as dangerous as Alex Jones'
“The mainstream media promotes a lot of conspiracy theories, and some of those theories, if acted upon by crazy people, would be just as dangerous as the things that Alex Jones has said.”
David Sacks Dec 16, 2023 ▶ 1:16:16 E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI's news deal, FCC targets Elon, the limits of free speech & more
Opinion
Tucker Carlson argues that the United States is not a democracy
“This is not a democracy. It's not even a sort of decent facsimile of a democracy. It's, to call it a democracy is, like, It was ridiculous, actually.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 11:37 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Affluent middle-aged women disproportionately control American public debate
“Our politics, and not just our politics, but our public conversation, reflects the very specific and parochial concerns of a tiny, tiny group of people, which is middle-aged, affluent women, who tend to be very angry, and tend to mostly with their husbands, bu…”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 11:53 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Rhetoric inspiring racial hatred originates from the political left
“On the race stuff, which is what matters over time, if you convince people to hate others on the basis of their race, you've committed a massive sin, and you've done a lot to wreck our country, that's coming from the left.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 27:47 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Humans invent climate crises to reduce their prosperity
“We're not designed to be prosperous, and the second we are, we invent climate crises to make us less prosperous. I mean, that's really what that is, right?”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 32:07 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls global warming and climate crisis narrative propaganda
“I think the global warming bullshit is bullshit, okay? I mean, obviously it is. Climate crisis. It's propaganda”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 38:02 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Assertion Contradicted
Tucker Carlson claims up to 70 million illegal immigrants reside in US
“Some estimates, 60, seventy million. Those are real estimates, by the way, not crackpot estimates.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 57:49 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Opinion
Tucker Carlson: Donald Trump's prosecution is a political prosecution
“That's a political prosecution.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 1:05:12 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Opinion
Tucker Carlson calls Gavin Newsom the most evil person in Democratic Party
“He's by far the most evil person in the Democratic Party, and in the end, they just sort of rise to the peak, you know, oil and water, man.”
Tucker Carlson Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 1:05:31 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sachs: Russia-Ukraine war has always been about NATO expansion
“There was a deal on the table to shut the war down. We just would have had to agree to make Ukraine neutral. And of course the Biden administration told them not to this war is and has always been about NATO expansion.”
David Sacks Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 1:10:04 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Elon Musk claims he has done more for the environment than anyone
“It would be fair to say that, therefore, as a leader of the company, I've done more for the environment than everyone else, any single human on Earth.”
Elon Musk Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 1:29:59 Tucker Carlson: State of America, leaving Fox News, Media Control, Politics, and more
Opinion
Kushner: Palestinian leadership, not Israel, holds back Palestinian economic progress
“The thing that's been holding back the Palestinian people has not been Israel. It's been their bad leadership.”
Jared Kushner Nov 11, 2023 ▶ 52:52 Jared Kushner: Israel-Hamas War, paths forward, macro picture, AI
Opinion
Chamath calls elite American universities "woke madrasas" teaching "virulent poison"
“Our leading educational institutions have really become woke madrasas. They are inculcating kids with just some virulent poison.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 30:13 E149: Hamas terror attacks in Israel: fallout, reaction, next steps
Assertion Contradicted
Palihapitiya: Welfare incentivized Black women $92,000 to remain unmarried
“In, you know, black families as an example, the economic incentive to not get married on you know, today dollar adjusted basis was like, 92,000 to a black woman to not get married and have a child.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Oct 2, 2023 ▶ 18:45 All-In Summit: "Luxury Beliefs are Status Symbols" with Rob Henderson
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: US made common cause with Ukrainian far-right groups before war
“If you look at U.S. Policy towards Ukraine, we have made common cause with a number of these far-right, ultra-nationalist groups. Frankly, neo-Nazi groups. And this occurred before the current war.”
David Sacks Sep 29, 2023 ▶ 52:49 E147: TED goes woke, Canada's Nazi blunder, AI adds vision, plus: who owns OpenAI?
Opinion
Sacks: US failure to respect spheres of influence caused Ukraine war
“Our foreign policy establishment cannot comprehend that other great powers want a similar Monroe Doctrine. I think that was a huge contributor to the war we have in Ukraine right now.”
David Sacks Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 28:23 All-In Summit: In conversation with Graham Allison
Opinion
Christie: Donald Trump does not actually believe the 2020 election was stolen
“I believe, given what I know, that Donald Trump does not believe that the election was stolen. That's what I believe from knowing him for 22 years and from being with him in much of the pre-election period and him expressing his very genuine concerns about the…”
Chris Christie Sep 8, 2023 ▶ 1:31:17 In conversation with Chris Christie
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: 70% of the world blames the US equally for Ukraine
“70% of the world's population does not believe this narrative about the Ukraine war. They understand that the U.S. Is at least equally responsible for this war.”
David Sacks Sep 1, 2023 ▶ 57:57 E144: Biden targets Elon, BRICS challenges the West, Tiger hit piece & more
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Calacanis: Trump will attempt to overturn the government again if given the chance
“Guy has no morality, and he would have overturned the government if he had the chance. And he will do it again.”
Jason Calacanis Aug 4, 2023 ▶ 1:18:57 E140: LK-99, Sclerotic establishments, Fitch downgrades US debt, Trump indicted... again
Disclosure
Ramaswamy pledges to pardon Trump for current and future J6 indictments
“That's why I've come out and been very vocal about the fact that I would pardon Trump of each of the two indictments that have already been brought. And if the J six indictment is brought against him, I would do the same thing.”
Vivek Ramaswamy Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 43:59 In conversation with Vivek Ramaswamy
Opinion
Ramaswamy: Gender dysphoria is a mental health disorder
“Gender dysphoria is what I've said is a mental health disorder.”
Vivek Ramaswamy Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 1:20:13 In conversation with Vivek Ramaswamy
Opinion
Calacanis: FTC Chair Lina Khan is punishing tech for being successful
“I think she is absolutely doing Biden's bidding. With an anti-tech, anti-wealth creation, anti-capitalism, frankly, pro-union punishment. I think this is punishment for tech being too successful.”
Jason Calacanis Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 48:05 E137: Inflation cools, market rips, Ripple/MSFT beat regulators, NATO summit, cocktails of youth
What-if
Sacks: Fauci's career would have ended if lab-leak role was exposed early
“Because Fauci had funded gain of function research at the Wuhan lab via EcoHealth Alliance. So he knew that if at the beginning of this pandemic, it turned out that he had been partially responsible For the creation of this virus that had now turned into a pan…”
David Sacks Jun 24, 2023 ▶ 1:06:59 E134: Ukraine counteroffensive, China tensions, COVID Patient Zero, RFK Jr reaction & more
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: Bill Gates admits COVID-19 vaccines do not work
“Even Bill Gates admits now that the vaccine doesn't work. It's too short acting and it doesn't hold up against variants.”
David Sacks Jun 10, 2023 ▶ 6:00 E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!
Opinion
Chamath: COVID-19 vaccine push was a Big Pharma revenue grab
“It was a revenue grab by big pharma plastered with non-scientific thinking from a bunch of people who should have known better.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Jun 10, 2023 ▶ 6:11 E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Gensler and Warren formed an alliance to destroy US crypto
“What's clear is that Gensler and Elizabeth Warren have an alliance to destroy crypto in the US.”
David Sacks Jun 10, 2023 ▶ 18:13 E132: SEC goes after crypto giants, Sequoia splits, LIV/PGA, Messi's deal + LIVE Q&A!
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Soros's Open Society Foundations foments regime change and revolutions worldwide
“Soros has this thing called the open society foundation, which sounds like it's spreading democracy and liberal values, but in fact is fomenting regime change. All over the world. And he's been sponsoring and funding color revolutions all over the world.”
David Sacks May 19, 2023 ▶ 1:25:35 E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's "nuclear" potential, big pharma bundling & more
Opinion
RFK Jr.: CIA ultimately serves corporate interests in oil, coal, and defense
“The CIA is ultimately working for a, for industry like the oil industry, the coal industry, and the military contract.”
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. May 5, 2023 ▶ 43:45 In conversation with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: 2004 NIH study showed hydroxychloroquine obliterates coronavirus
“We knew ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine were working. We knew that since 2004, because the NIH did this study that said hydroxychloroquine obliterates coronavirus.”
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. May 5, 2023 ▶ 48:22 In conversation with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Assertion Contradicted
RFK Jr.: DTP vaccine killed or injured 1 in 300 kids in US
“It was killing or causing severe brain injury in one out of every 300 kids who got it.”
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. May 5, 2023 ▶ 1:03:35 In conversation with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Opinion
Palihapitiya: Software developers no longer exercise good judgment
“I'm going to say something controversial. I don't think developers anymore have good judgment. Developers get to the answer or they don't get to the answer.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 14, 2023 ▶ 20:23 E124: AutoGPT's massive potential and risk, AI regulation, Bob Lee/SF update
What-if
Sacks: Ukraine war would not have happened with three specific US concessions
“If we had just done those three things, there would have been no war.”
David Sacks Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 1:07:59 E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Putin seized Crimea in direct retaliation for a U.S.-backed coup
“If you're wondering why Putin seized Crimea, it was in direct retaliation for the coup that we backed in Ukraine in 2014. This is the origin of the conflict.”
David Sacks Feb 24, 2023 ▶ 1:19:00 E117: Did Stripe miss its window? Plus: VC market update, AI comes for SaaS, Trump's savvy move
Opinion
Sacks: Hersh report alleging U.S. Nord Stream sabotage is plausible
“I lean towards thinking it's more plausible than not.”
David Sacks Feb 11, 2023 ▶ 10:10 E115: The AI Search Wars: Google vs. Microsoft, Nordstream report, State of the Union
What-if
Sacks: Closing NATO's door likely could have avoided the Russia-Ukraine war
“Because there's a good chance we could have avoided This disastrous war if we had just been willing to close NATO's door.”
David Sacks Dec 24, 2022 ▶ 12:14 E109: 2022 Bestie Awards Live from Twitter HQ
Opinion
Sacks: Twitter's undisclosed moderation is an FTX-level free speech fraud
“This is an FTX level fraud, except that what was stolen here was not customer funds, it was their free speech rights.”
David Sacks Dec 10, 2022 ▶ 6:57 E107: The Twitter Files Parts 1-2: shadow banning, story suppression, interference & more
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Sacks: Russia will likely use a tactical nuke if Ukraine retakes Crimea
“With the result that I think is quite likely that the Russians will be willing to use a tactical nuke to prevent their total defeat.”
David Sacks Oct 14, 2022 ▶ 1:09:36 E100: Reflecting on the first 100 shows, fan questions, nuclear threat, markets, Amazon & more
Opinion
Sacks: US State Department failed to avoid war by refusing NATO guarantees
“The question is, did the US State Department do everything they could to avoid this war? And my point is, absolutely not. They should have taken this Ukraine issue off the table in writing before the invasion.”
David Sacks Sep 17, 2022 ▶ 1:16:11 E96: Adobe acquires Figma for $20B, TPB SPAC, FedEx CEO's recession warning, macro picture & more
Opinion
Calacanis: Andreessen Horowitz engaged most in VC token sale flips
“That seems like the firm that did this the most is Andreessen Horowitz.”
Jason Calacanis Jun 24, 2022 ▶ 59:35 E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lonsdale claims BLM movement ideas caused thousands of additional Black deaths
“There's a lot of truth and positive parts of the BLM movement the last couple years, but it's actually led to thousands more deaths in the black community because of the things that it was pushing. Because of the bad ideas.”
Joe Lonsdale Jun 2, 2022 ▶ 11:30 #AIS: Joe Lonsdale on the problem with higher education
Opinion
Sacks: The New York Times acts as the woke mob's enforcement wing
“They are the enforcement wing of the woke mob.”
David Sacks May 26, 2022 ▶ 48:31 #AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
Opinion
Elon Musk: Twitter has a very far-left political bias
“The reality is that, that Twitter at this point, you know, has a very far left bias.”
Elon Musk May 16, 2022 ▶ 8:48 Elon Musk: Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories & more
Opinion
Musk: Democratic Party is overly controlled by unions and trial lawyers
“The Democrat party is overly, overly controlled by the unions and by the trial lawyers, particularly the class action lawyers.”
Elon Musk May 16, 2022 ▶ 12:03 Elon Musk: Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories & more
Opinion
Musk calls Tesla co-founder Martin Eberhard his worst colleague ever
“There's still this guy, Mark Eberhard, who's the worst guy I've ever worked with, who tries to claim like sold credit essentially for creating a Tesla.”
Elon Musk May 16, 2022 ▶ 31:15 Elon Musk: Twitter's bot problem, SpaceX's grand plan, Tesla stories & more
Opinion
Sacks: Big Tech committed massive 2020 election interference censoring Hunter Biden
“The scale interference in the election was committed by big tech. I mean, they censored the Hunter Biden story two weeks before the election.”
David Sacks Apr 30, 2022 ▶ 1:25:38 E78: VC fund metrics that matter, private market update, recession, student loans, Bill Hwang arrest
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