David Friedberg answers Jason Calacanis's question about whether the rapid authorization of mRNA vaccines during COVID-19 will lead to a net positive in total lives saved.
“Perhaps the pandemic was the accelerant we needed to get more of these to market faster and millions of people whose lives would have been lost or would be lost otherwise to cancer and other genetic diseases and so on over the years to come will be saved because these therapies will get to market faster.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
(the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from David Friedberg
PredictionOpen · timeframe Jul 2031
Friedberg predicts AOC will be elected US President
“So I predict AOC will be president.”
David FriedbergJul 3, 2026▶ 1:28:45AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom’s CA Budget Lie
PredictionDidn’t hold up
Friedberg: Reduced global crop production will lead to famine in a year
“That means there's going to be less production over the next year. That means famine hits us in a year.”
David FriedbergApr 1, 2022▶ 1:24:06E74: Market update, inverted yield curve, immigration, new SPAC rules, $FB smears TikTok and more
PredictionDidn’t hold up
Friedberg: Russian export controls will almost certainly cause widespread famine in 2022
“That are not just about sanctions, but also about export controls by Russia that are creating swings in food markets like we've never seen, and will almost certainly lead to widespread famine by the end of this year at this point.”
David FriedbergMar 19, 2022▶ 16:46E72: Impact of sanctions, deglobalization, food shortage risks, macroeconomic outlook and more
Opinion
Friedberg: Putin's behavior is rational and he seeks to avoid conflict
“His behavior is very rational in response to what's gone on for 30 years. And his requests are that he is feeling threatened and he is trying to avoid military conflict as much as he can.”
David FriedbergJan 29, 2022▶ 28:56E65: VC markup dynamics, Russia/US tensions over Ukraine, Altos Labs raises $3B, Stripe mafia & more
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Friedberg predicts humanity will ultimately view animal agriculture as worse than slavery
“I think one day the human race will look back and identify animal agriculture as worse than human slavery. I do think that that will be a profound realization over the next century for our species”
David FriedbergDec 23, 2021▶ 1:10:33E60: The 2021 Bestie Awards PLUS Jack Dorsey starts the Web3 Wars
Insight
Friedberg argues monopolies are lazy and easier to defeat than cronyism
“I think monopolies are good because monopolies are just like lazy, and it's easier to innovate and compete against a monopoly, to be honest, than it is to compete against cronyism.”
David FriedbergSep 4, 2021▶ 1:01:27E45: Theranos & VC fraud risks, China bans video games, Texas SB8, Apple app store, CA fires, Rogan
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