Chamath predicts US GDP growth will hit 5% to 6.2% in 2026
Chamath Palihapitiya · All-In's 2026 Predictions · Jan 10, 2026 · at 15:11
Chamath Palihapitiya, founder of Social Capital, gives his 2026 US GDP growth prediction on the All-In Podcast.
0:00 / 0:02exact quote · 2.9s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“I think the lower bound is five. I think the upper bound is six, two.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Chamath Palihapitiya
Chamath: Warren Buffett generated zero alpha after Regulation FD was enacted
“His returns were double the market returns when this kind of information sharing was legal. And the minute that it became illegal and you had to basically act on the same edge as everybody else, his returns went to the market return. He generated zero alpha.”
Chamath Palihapitiya predicts global software TAM will shrink to $500 billion
“I, I'm pretty sure that the market here shrinks by an order of magnitude, and instead of fighting over five trillion, I think we'll be fighting over Five hundred billion.”
Chamath: Democrats will lose California or New York within eight years
“I completely agree with you, and I'll go even further, which is, I think that the Democrats will lose one of California or New York in the next eight years.”
Palihapitiya: Human rights abuses against Uyghurs are below his line of concern
“Nobody cares about what's happening to the weakers. Okay. You bring it up because you really care. The rest of us don't care. I'm just telling you a very hard, I'm telling you a very hard, ugly truth. Okay. Of all the things that I care about. Yes, it is below…”