Apr 9, 2022 · 1h 17m · allin

E75: Fast shuts down, board culpability, Elon buys 9% of Twitter, deplatforming's evolution & more

Jason Calacanis · 19m spoken David Sacks · 17m spoken Chamath Palihapitiya · 16m spoken David Friedberg · 15m spoken
0:00 / 0:00
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In Episode 75 of the All-In Podcast, hosts Jason Calacanis, Chamath Palihapitiya, David Sacks, and David Friedberg analyze the sudden shutdown of Fast.co, rising interest rates, and the collapse of high-burn startup governance. They also discuss Elon Musk's acquisition of a major Twitter stake, the evolving debate over free speech and platform censorship, and the geopolitical fallout of the Russia-Ukraine war on global food supply chains.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. The hosts hold 99.4% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

The hosts as informed peer 6.9 Guest teaching 4.1 Guest disagreement 4.1 The hosts pushing back 4.4
05100:0020:0040:001:00:001:23–3:53 · The hosts as informed peer 2/10 Host Introductions & Nickname Banter Lighthearted introductory banter featuring nickname announcements and jokes about host hangovers. Friedberg playfully mocks Jason's summit party updates as irrelevant to the broader audience.3:53–6:10 · The hosts as informed peer 3/10 TV Shows, "Elevating Consciousness", and Fancy Diets The co-hosts joke about the TV series WeWork, elevating consciousness, and compare fancy dining diets like tempeh versus olive-fed beef. Chamath mocks Friedberg's vegan diet regime.6:10–10:27 · The hosts as informed peer 4/10 Oat Milk Chemicals, Dairy, and Sacks' Brie Obsession Chamath highlights additive chemicals inside commercial oat milk, leading to humor around Sacks' college obsession with eating entire wheels of brie cheese.10:27–13:54 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 Macro Economy, Federal Reserve, and Startup Survival Chamath delivers an authoritative macro analysis detailing the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening program, rate hikes, and liquidity compression across equity markets.13:54–18:42 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 Burn Multiples, PayPal Lessons, and Venture Governance Sacks explains the burn multiple metric and references PayPal's 2000 survival strategy to detail how startup Fast should have cut costs. Chamath challenges the rationale behind Stripe's strategic investment.18:42–25:02 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 "Fucked Company" Era vs. Modern VC Incentives The besties discuss the early internet era website FuckedCompany and contrast it with modern VC AUM growth incentives. Chamath points out how top firms like Sequoia maintain governance discipline.25:02–35:54 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 Startup Failure Culture, VC Pro-Founder Hysteria, and Coachability A vigorous debate arises over pro-founder VC hysteria versus board governance. Sacks argues VCs lack power over founders, while Chamath counters that elite investors hold substantial authority.35:54–41:51 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 SaaS Board Meeting Decks and Blitzscaling Pitfalls Sacks outlines standard SaaS board deck structures and blitzscaling pitfalls, while Friedberg emphasizes coachability and intellectual curiosity as key traits of scaling CEOs.41:53–47:05 · The hosts as informed peer 7/10 Elon Musk Acquires Twitter Stake and Board Seat The panel analyzes Elon Musk acquiring a 9% stake and board seat at Twitter. Sacks and Chamath argue that restoring free speech on major platforms is crucial for democratic culture.47:05–52:33 · The hosts as informed peer 7/10 Corporate Governance, Employee Activism, and Censorship Pressures Friedberg explains how broad public shareholder bases force tech executives to submit to regulatory and employee activism pressure. Sacks praises leaders like Brian Armstrong who resisted employee mobs.52:33–1:03:19 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 The Slippery Slope of Deplatforming and Reinstating Banned Voices A sharp philosophical clash occurs over deplatforming. Friedberg defends private platforms' right to curate content, while Sacks argues social media networks operate as a cartel depriving users of digital rights.1:03:19–1:08:20 · The hosts as informed peer 9/10 Global Food Crisis and Agricultural Supply Chain Disruptions Friedberg delivers a detailed breakdown of global agricultural supply chain bottlenecks, explaining why crop milling equipment limits caloric substitution and threatens developing nations with famine.1:08:20–1:13:29 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 Geopolitical Strategy and the State of the War in Ukraine Sacks outlines the shift in the Ukraine conflict toward a long-term Donbass proxy war, questioning US foreign policy priorities when China remains the primary peer competitor.1:13:29–1:16:39 · The hosts as informed peer 9/10 Strategic Priorities for Western Resilience and Geopolitical Realignment Chamath details three vital pillars for American domestic resilience: energy independence, specialty chemical production, and onshore semiconductor manufacturing. Sacks recommends regional Asian alliances.1:23–3:53 · Guest teaching 1/10 Host Introductions & Nickname Banter Lighthearted introductory banter featuring nickname announcements and jokes about host hangovers. Friedberg playfully mocks Jason's summit party updates as irrelevant to the broader audience.3:53–6:10 · Guest teaching 2/10 TV Shows, "Elevating Consciousness", and Fancy Diets The co-hosts joke about the TV series WeWork, elevating consciousness, and compare fancy dining diets like tempeh versus olive-fed beef. Chamath mocks Friedberg's vegan diet regime.6:10–10:27 · Guest teaching 3/10 Oat Milk Chemicals, Dairy, and Sacks' Brie Obsession Chamath highlights additive chemicals inside commercial oat milk, leading to humor around Sacks' college obsession with eating entire wheels of brie cheese.10:27–13:54 · Guest teaching 5/10 Macro Economy, Federal Reserve, and Startup Survival Chamath delivers an authoritative macro analysis detailing the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening program, rate hikes, and liquidity compression across equity markets.13:54–18:42 · Guest teaching 5/10 Burn Multiples, PayPal Lessons, and Venture Governance Sacks explains the burn multiple metric and references PayPal's 2000 survival strategy to detail how startup Fast should have cut costs. Chamath challenges the rationale behind Stripe's strategic investment.18:42–25:02 · Guest teaching 4/10 "Fucked Company" Era vs. Modern VC Incentives The besties discuss the early internet era website FuckedCompany and contrast it with modern VC AUM growth incentives. Chamath points out how top firms like Sequoia maintain governance discipline.25:02–35:54 · Guest teaching 5/10 Startup Failure Culture, VC Pro-Founder Hysteria, and Coachability A vigorous debate arises over pro-founder VC hysteria versus board governance. Sacks argues VCs lack power over founders, while Chamath counters that elite investors hold substantial authority.35:54–41:51 · Guest teaching 4/10 SaaS Board Meeting Decks and Blitzscaling Pitfalls Sacks outlines standard SaaS board deck structures and blitzscaling pitfalls, while Friedberg emphasizes coachability and intellectual curiosity as key traits of scaling CEOs.41:53–47:05 · Guest teaching 3/10 Elon Musk Acquires Twitter Stake and Board Seat The panel analyzes Elon Musk acquiring a 9% stake and board seat at Twitter. Sacks and Chamath argue that restoring free speech on major platforms is crucial for democratic culture.47:05–52:33 · Guest teaching 4/10 Corporate Governance, Employee Activism, and Censorship Pressures Friedberg explains how broad public shareholder bases force tech executives to submit to regulatory and employee activism pressure. Sacks praises leaders like Brian Armstrong who resisted employee mobs.52:33–1:03:19 · Guest teaching 6/10 The Slippery Slope of Deplatforming and Reinstating Banned Voices A sharp philosophical clash occurs over deplatforming. Friedberg defends private platforms' right to curate content, while Sacks argues social media networks operate as a cartel depriving users of digital rights.1:03:19–1:08:20 · Guest teaching 7/10 Global Food Crisis and Agricultural Supply Chain Disruptions Friedberg delivers a detailed breakdown of global agricultural supply chain bottlenecks, explaining why crop milling equipment limits caloric substitution and threatens developing nations with famine.1:08:20–1:13:29 · Guest teaching 5/10 Geopolitical Strategy and the State of the War in Ukraine Sacks outlines the shift in the Ukraine conflict toward a long-term Donbass proxy war, questioning US foreign policy priorities when China remains the primary peer competitor.1:13:29–1:16:39 · Guest teaching 4/10 Strategic Priorities for Western Resilience and Geopolitical Realignment Chamath details three vital pillars for American domestic resilience: energy independence, specialty chemical production, and onshore semiconductor manufacturing. Sacks recommends regional Asian alliances.1:23–3:53 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Host Introductions & Nickname Banter Lighthearted introductory banter featuring nickname announcements and jokes about host hangovers. Friedberg playfully mocks Jason's summit party updates as irrelevant to the broader audience.3:53–6:10 · Guest disagreement 4/10 TV Shows, "Elevating Consciousness", and Fancy Diets The co-hosts joke about the TV series WeWork, elevating consciousness, and compare fancy dining diets like tempeh versus olive-fed beef. Chamath mocks Friedberg's vegan diet regime.6:10–10:27 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Oat Milk Chemicals, Dairy, and Sacks' Brie Obsession Chamath highlights additive chemicals inside commercial oat milk, leading to humor around Sacks' college obsession with eating entire wheels of brie cheese.10:27–13:54 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Macro Economy, Federal Reserve, and Startup Survival Chamath delivers an authoritative macro analysis detailing the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening program, rate hikes, and liquidity compression across equity markets.13:54–18:42 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Burn Multiples, PayPal Lessons, and Venture Governance Sacks explains the burn multiple metric and references PayPal's 2000 survival strategy to detail how startup Fast should have cut costs. Chamath challenges the rationale behind Stripe's strategic investment.18:42–25:02 · Guest disagreement 4/10 "Fucked Company" Era vs. Modern VC Incentives The besties discuss the early internet era website FuckedCompany and contrast it with modern VC AUM growth incentives. Chamath points out how top firms like Sequoia maintain governance discipline.25:02–35:54 · Guest disagreement 6/10 Startup Failure Culture, VC Pro-Founder Hysteria, and Coachability A vigorous debate arises over pro-founder VC hysteria versus board governance. Sacks argues VCs lack power over founders, while Chamath counters that elite investors hold substantial authority.35:54–41:51 · Guest disagreement 4/10 SaaS Board Meeting Decks and Blitzscaling Pitfalls Sacks outlines standard SaaS board deck structures and blitzscaling pitfalls, while Friedberg emphasizes coachability and intellectual curiosity as key traits of scaling CEOs.41:53–47:05 · Guest disagreement 4/10 Elon Musk Acquires Twitter Stake and Board Seat The panel analyzes Elon Musk acquiring a 9% stake and board seat at Twitter. Sacks and Chamath argue that restoring free speech on major platforms is crucial for democratic culture.47:05–52:33 · Guest disagreement 5/10 Corporate Governance, Employee Activism, and Censorship Pressures Friedberg explains how broad public shareholder bases force tech executives to submit to regulatory and employee activism pressure. Sacks praises leaders like Brian Armstrong who resisted employee mobs.52:33–1:03:19 · Guest disagreement 7/10 The Slippery Slope of Deplatforming and Reinstating Banned Voices A sharp philosophical clash occurs over deplatforming. Friedberg defends private platforms' right to curate content, while Sacks argues social media networks operate as a cartel depriving users of digital rights.1:03:19–1:08:20 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Global Food Crisis and Agricultural Supply Chain Disruptions Friedberg delivers a detailed breakdown of global agricultural supply chain bottlenecks, explaining why crop milling equipment limits caloric substitution and threatens developing nations with famine.1:08:20–1:13:29 · Guest disagreement 5/10 Geopolitical Strategy and the State of the War in Ukraine Sacks outlines the shift in the Ukraine conflict toward a long-term Donbass proxy war, questioning US foreign policy priorities when China remains the primary peer competitor.1:13:29–1:16:39 · Guest disagreement 3/10 Strategic Priorities for Western Resilience and Geopolitical Realignment Chamath details three vital pillars for American domestic resilience: energy independence, specialty chemical production, and onshore semiconductor manufacturing. Sacks recommends regional Asian alliances.1:23–3:53 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Host Introductions & Nickname Banter Lighthearted introductory banter featuring nickname announcements and jokes about host hangovers. Friedberg playfully mocks Jason's summit party updates as irrelevant to the broader audience.3:53–6:10 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 TV Shows, "Elevating Consciousness", and Fancy Diets The co-hosts joke about the TV series WeWork, elevating consciousness, and compare fancy dining diets like tempeh versus olive-fed beef. Chamath mocks Friedberg's vegan diet regime.6:10–10:27 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Oat Milk Chemicals, Dairy, and Sacks' Brie Obsession Chamath highlights additive chemicals inside commercial oat milk, leading to humor around Sacks' college obsession with eating entire wheels of brie cheese.10:27–13:54 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Macro Economy, Federal Reserve, and Startup Survival Chamath delivers an authoritative macro analysis detailing the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening program, rate hikes, and liquidity compression across equity markets.13:54–18:42 · The hosts pushing back 5/10 Burn Multiples, PayPal Lessons, and Venture Governance Sacks explains the burn multiple metric and references PayPal's 2000 survival strategy to detail how startup Fast should have cut costs. Chamath challenges the rationale behind Stripe's strategic investment.18:42–25:02 · The hosts pushing back 5/10 "Fucked Company" Era vs. Modern VC Incentives The besties discuss the early internet era website FuckedCompany and contrast it with modern VC AUM growth incentives. Chamath points out how top firms like Sequoia maintain governance discipline.25:02–35:54 · The hosts pushing back 6/10 Startup Failure Culture, VC Pro-Founder Hysteria, and Coachability A vigorous debate arises over pro-founder VC hysteria versus board governance. Sacks argues VCs lack power over founders, while Chamath counters that elite investors hold substantial authority.35:54–41:51 · The hosts pushing back 4/10 SaaS Board Meeting Decks and Blitzscaling Pitfalls Sacks outlines standard SaaS board deck structures and blitzscaling pitfalls, while Friedberg emphasizes coachability and intellectual curiosity as key traits of scaling CEOs.41:53–47:05 · The hosts pushing back 4/10 Elon Musk Acquires Twitter Stake and Board Seat The panel analyzes Elon Musk acquiring a 9% stake and board seat at Twitter. Sacks and Chamath argue that restoring free speech on major platforms is crucial for democratic culture.47:05–52:33 · The hosts pushing back 5/10 Corporate Governance, Employee Activism, and Censorship Pressures Friedberg explains how broad public shareholder bases force tech executives to submit to regulatory and employee activism pressure. Sacks praises leaders like Brian Armstrong who resisted employee mobs.52:33–1:03:19 · The hosts pushing back 7/10 The Slippery Slope of Deplatforming and Reinstating Banned Voices A sharp philosophical clash occurs over deplatforming. Friedberg defends private platforms' right to curate content, while Sacks argues social media networks operate as a cartel depriving users of digital rights.1:03:19–1:08:20 · The hosts pushing back 4/10 Global Food Crisis and Agricultural Supply Chain Disruptions Friedberg delivers a detailed breakdown of global agricultural supply chain bottlenecks, explaining why crop milling equipment limits caloric substitution and threatens developing nations with famine.1:08:20–1:13:29 · The hosts pushing back 6/10 Geopolitical Strategy and the State of the War in Ukraine Sacks outlines the shift in the Ukraine conflict toward a long-term Donbass proxy war, questioning US foreign policy priorities when China remains the primary peer competitor.1:13:29–1:16:39 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Strategic Priorities for Western Resilience and Geopolitical Realignment Chamath details three vital pillars for American domestic resilience: energy independence, specialty chemical production, and onshore semiconductor manufacturing. Sacks recommends regional Asian alliances.

speaking balance: gold is the hosts, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · the hosts 99% · guest 1%0:00 · the hosts 99% · guest 1%3:00 · the hosts 98% · guest 2%3:00 · the hosts 98% · guest 2%6:00 · the hosts 99.2% · guest 0.8%6:00 · the hosts 99.2% · guest 0.8%9:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%9:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%12:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%12:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%15:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%15:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%18:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%18:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%21:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%21:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%24:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%24:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%27:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%27:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%30:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%30:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%33:00 · the hosts 99.6% · guest 0.4%33:00 · the hosts 99.6% · guest 0.4%36:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%36:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%39:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%39:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%42:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%42:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%45:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%45:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%48:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%48:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%51:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%51:00 · the hosts 99.9% · guest 0.1%54:00 · the hosts 99.8% · guest 0.2%54:00 · the hosts 99.8% · guest 0.2%57:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%57:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:00:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:00:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:03:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:03:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:06:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:06:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:09:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:09:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:12:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:12:00 · the hosts 100% · guest 0%1:15:00 · the hosts 85.2% · guest 14.8%1:15:00 · the hosts 85.2% · guest 14.8%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 56:00 Sacks vs Friedberg on platform rights vs speech rights

Sacks forcefully rejects Friedberg's framing that private social media platforms can do whatever they want, arguing that big tech operates as a monopoly cartel that digitally depersons citizens.

Hardest push from the hosts ▶ 30:28 Chamath challenges Sacks' view on board influence

Chamath directly confronts Sacks' claim that VCs lack leverage over founders, insisting that authoritative investors like Peter Thiel or Mike Moritz command real influence when demanding burn reductions.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 1:04:15 Friedberg educates room on food supply chain technology

Friedberg corrects Jason's assumption that global calories can simply be substituted, walking through technical equipment limitations in wheat mills and hoarding dynamics in commodity markets.

The host holds their own ▶ 10:26 Chamath's breakdown of Federal Reserve quantitative tightening

Chamath demonstrates deep macroeconomic expertise by laying out the step-by-step mechanics of Fed rate hikes, balance sheet runoff, and market index concentration.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe hosts as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe hosts pushing backWhy
Host Introductions & Nickname Banter 2133 Lighthearted introductory banter featuring nickname announcements and jokes about host hangovers. Friedberg playfully mocks Jason's summit party updates as irrelevant to the broader audience.
TV Shows, "Elevating Consciousness", and Fancy Diets 3243 The co-hosts joke about the TV series WeWork, elevating consciousness, and compare fancy dining diets like tempeh versus olive-fed beef. Chamath mocks Friedberg's vegan diet regime.
Oat Milk Chemicals, Dairy, and Sacks' Brie Obsession 4333 Chamath highlights additive chemicals inside commercial oat milk, leading to humor around Sacks' college obsession with eating entire wheels of brie cheese.
Macro Economy, Federal Reserve, and Startup Survival 8523 Chamath delivers an authoritative macro analysis detailing the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening program, rate hikes, and liquidity compression across equity markets.
Burn Multiples, PayPal Lessons, and Venture Governance 8545 Sacks explains the burn multiple metric and references PayPal's 2000 survival strategy to detail how startup Fast should have cut costs. Chamath challenges the rationale behind Stripe's strategic investment.
"Fucked Company" Era vs. Modern VC Incentives 8445 The besties discuss the early internet era website FuckedCompany and contrast it with modern VC AUM growth incentives. Chamath points out how top firms like Sequoia maintain governance discipline.
Startup Failure Culture, VC Pro-Founder Hysteria, and Coachability 8566 A vigorous debate arises over pro-founder VC hysteria versus board governance. Sacks argues VCs lack power over founders, while Chamath counters that elite investors hold substantial authority.
SaaS Board Meeting Decks and Blitzscaling Pitfalls 8444 Sacks outlines standard SaaS board deck structures and blitzscaling pitfalls, while Friedberg emphasizes coachability and intellectual curiosity as key traits of scaling CEOs.
Elon Musk Acquires Twitter Stake and Board Seat 7344 The panel analyzes Elon Musk acquiring a 9% stake and board seat at Twitter. Sacks and Chamath argue that restoring free speech on major platforms is crucial for democratic culture.
Corporate Governance, Employee Activism, and Censorship Pressures 7455 Friedberg explains how broad public shareholder bases force tech executives to submit to regulatory and employee activism pressure. Sacks praises leaders like Brian Armstrong who resisted employee mobs.
The Slippery Slope of Deplatforming and Reinstating Banned Voices 8677 A sharp philosophical clash occurs over deplatforming. Friedberg defends private platforms' right to curate content, while Sacks argues social media networks operate as a cartel depriving users of digital rights.
Global Food Crisis and Agricultural Supply Chain Disruptions 9734 Friedberg delivers a detailed breakdown of global agricultural supply chain bottlenecks, explaining why crop milling equipment limits caloric substitution and threatens developing nations with famine.
Geopolitical Strategy and the State of the War in Ukraine 8556 Sacks outlines the shift in the Ukraine conflict toward a long-term Donbass proxy war, questioning US foreign policy priorities when China remains the primary peer competitor.
Strategic Priorities for Western Resilience and Geopolitical Realignment 9433 Chamath details three vital pillars for American domestic resilience: energy independence, specialty chemical production, and onshore semiconductor manufacturing. Sacks recommends regional Asian alliances.

Statements from this episode (35)

Assertion Supported
Palihapitiya: Whole Foods almond milk is loaded with sugar and chemicals
“The almond milk at like the Whole Foods, riddled with sugar and all this other nonsensical chemicals as well.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 6:41
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Fast burned $10M monthly on $50K in revenue
“At its peak fast was burning ten million dollars a month according to reports. I think the information got most of this information while only generating about 50 K a month in revenue.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 8:43
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Fast raised $102M Series B led by Stripe, $124M total
“Their hundred two million dollar Series B was led by Stripe in January of 2021. Company raised one hundred twenty four million dollars in total.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 8:53
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Better.com laid off 3,900 employees across December and March
“And they laid off 900 people December first, 3000 people on March eighth, according to TechCrunch.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 9:11
Prediction Held up
Palihapitiya: Fed will aggressively hike rates until equity markets sell off
“So I think what the Fed's going to do is get even more aggressive. You're going to probably see, you know, a lot of fifties, maybe even a 75 point hike. You probably are going to see them, you know, even ratchet up quantitative tightening until there is a bit …”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 12:16
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Startups face 18 months of unfavorable venture fundraising terms
“And I think the worst means that there's an 18 month period where you cannot raise money on your terms. You have to raise money on the market terms.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 13:37
What-if
Sacks: Fast could have preserved $30M by cutting burn earlier
“If they just slammed on the brakes three or four months ago, when we were talking on this pod about the coming downturn, they could still have thirty million dollars in the bank.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 14:29
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: PayPal burned $10M monthly with no revenue in 2000
“PayPal had this situation back in 2000, the year 2000, right after the dot-com crash. We were burning ten million dollars a month, like fast. We had no revenue and no business model, ok?”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 15:16
Insight
Sacks: High-burn, low-revenue startups must cut costs immediately
“If you're a high burn company right now, that's not generating a lot of revenue to go along with it. You better slam on the brakes and rationalize your cost structure before it's too late.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 16:23
Opinion
Calacanis: Silicon Valley has lacked proper board governance for a long time
“We haven't had proper governance for a long time in Silicon Valley.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 20:45
Insight
Friedberg: VCs are incentivized to collect fees rather than govern companies
“I see that lacking heavily in Silicon Valley, because the VCs are more incentivized to raise more money, to make more investments and then pay less attention and just go raise the next fund.”
David Friedberg Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 22:32
Assertion Supported
Palihapitiya: Sequoia was the sole VC to release 'RIP Good Times'
“There's a reason why in during the great financial crisis, there was only one organization that even had the courage, forget whether it was right or wrong at the time to even write the RIP Good Times deck, right? It was Sequoia.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 23:41
Insight
Palihapitiya: AUM-focused VC funds prioritize LPs over portfolio companies
“When you're trying to raise AUM, your customer is not the company. It's your customer is the LP.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 24:33
Insight
Sacks: Offsheet customer references are the single most important diligence signal
“Probably offsheet customer references. So the first thing we do is focus on the metrics, right? And the financials, the SaaS metrics, all that kind of stuff. But then you want to talk to customers, and you want to understand the value they're getting out of th…”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 28:54
Opinion
Friedberg: Most venture capitalists add negative value to startups
“There are most VCs, as Vinod has said publicly, add negative value. And I totally agree with him on this. Because they, many VCs, particularly the ones who aren't, you know, valuable and don't really have much to add, try to add stuff, try to say stuff, and th…”
David Friedberg Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 31:55
Disclosure
Palihapitiya requires standard cash burn reporting for every board role
“In every board that I take, the first thing that I say is, here's a template I want. I'm not going to ask you a bunch of stuff, but I just want some transparent reporting. And the first page is always, how much money at the beginning of the month? How much mon…”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 33:44
Disclosure
Sacks: Craft calculates runway using trailing burn, not projections
“We don't like looking at projections for runway. We just look at how much you burned last month and how much money you got in the bank.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 36:15
Insight
Friedberg: Curiosity and coachability define founders scaling past $100B
“If you look across the range of successful founders, CEOs that scale to a hundred billion dollar plus valuations for their businesses, that to me is one of the more common threads is this kind of intellectual curiosity, which translates into a coachability, wh…”
David Friedberg Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 38:41
Insight
Calacanis: Running regular board meetings differentiates seed-stage startups
“It actually turns out doing a one hour board meeting, four times a year, six times a year, even as a seed stage company, it's it does differentiate you to the venture community, I find.”
Jason Calacanis Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 41:40
Opinion
Palihapitiya: Twitter free speech impact could exceed Tesla and SpaceX
“I think that if he is able to make free speech cool again, he'll, he'll actually do more doing that than potentially through SpaceX and Tesla, and that's already saying a lot.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 45:14
Opinion
Palihapitiya: Twitter's structure uniquely allows Musk to enforce free speech
“You know that none of the other big tech companies will ever even do that. And the capital structures of those companies will never allow a single strong voice like his to enforce that idea. So this is the only company where that could happen.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 46:37
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: Jack Dorsey was Twitter's largest single shareholder at 2.3%
“The largest single shareholder in Twitter to date has been Jack Dorsey at 2.3%.”
David Friedberg Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 47:57
Opinion
Sacks: Online activist culture is a paper tiger lacking majority public support
“The fact of the matter is that this whole woke mob thing, it's a paper tiger. They don't have the support of most of the population.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 50:37
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Elon Musk will ignore complaints from Twitter employees, regulators, and shareholders
“I don't think he'll care what employees kind of gripe about. I don't think he'll care what regulators gripe about. And I don't think he'll care what other shareholders gripe about. He'll talk about the long-term opportunity, the philosophical alignment with mi…”
David Friedberg Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 51:37
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Social media platforms censoring topics will lose users over time
“They're going to lose users over time. They're going to end up looking like idiots when they're wrong by banning certain topics that we should be having conversations about over time.”
David Friedberg Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 54:39
Assertion Supported
Sacks: Congress is pushing six bills to regulate big tech as monopolies
“Meanwhile, in Congress, they're pushing six bills forward to regulate these companies as monopolies.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 56:11
Prediction Held up
Palihapitiya: Trump will likely be allowed back on Twitter after three years
“I think all roads will probably lead to a conclusion that after three years, it's probably okay to let this guy back and be able to tweet.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 58:51
Assertion Supported
USDA downgraded US corn planting forecast from 93M to 89M acres
“The USDA farm report comes out, they survey farmers and figure out how much they're going to plant every year. And they just downgraded the number of corn acres that are going to get planted this year, which is happening starting this month from ninety three m…”
David Friedberg Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:06:42
Prediction Held up
Friedberg: Global food crisis will hit Sri Lanka and Africa hard
“The United States is going to be fine. Western Europe will be fine. China will be fine. Sri Lanka is gonna be a mess. Northern and Eastern Africa is gonna be a mess.”
David Friedberg Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:07:30
Prediction Held up
Sacks: Russia-Ukraine war will be a permanent feature of Biden presidency
“I think it's gonna become a sort of permanent feature in the background of Biden's presidency.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:09:05
Assertion Partly supported
Sacks: US economy is 15x Russia's and equal to China's
“Our economy is 15 times bigger than Russia's. China's economy is about the same size as ours.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:10:46
What-if
Sacks: US State Department could have easily avoided Ukraine war
“This war was easily avoidable. I mean, the State Department could have avoided this war very easily.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:11:38
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sacks: US regime change interventions always yield equal or worse outcomes
“In every case where we push for regime change, we've actually gotten the same or worse.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:12:08
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palihapitiya: Controlling energy, chips, and chemicals secures US dominance for 200 years
“Get those two things completely under us control. On top of energy independence, and honestly, we would be a dominant world power for the next 200 years on our terms.”
Chamath Palihapitiya Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:14:47
Opinion
Sacks: China is the only country capable of challenging US global hegemony
“There's only one country in the world that can do that right now to us, which is China.”
David Sacks Apr 9, 2022 ▶ 1:15:14
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