Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Zohran Mamdani defeated Andrew Cuomo in NYC Democratic primary
“Little-known New York State Assemblyman, Zoran Mamdani, took the internet by storm this week, shocked the world, beating out Andrew Cuomo for the Democratic nomination.”
Assertion Supported
Calacanis: Cuomo held 93% Polymarket odds versus Mamdani's 6% last month
“One month ago, Cuomo was at 93%. Zoran had a six percent chance.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Progressive political wave will continue sweeping American cities
“For me, it feels like actually a little bit of a beginning of a wave that's going to continue to sweep over this country starting in cities, and I think that we're at the very early stages.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Kamala Harris will soon look like a conservative candidate
“I think we'll look back and I jokingly say that Kamala Harris is going to look like a conservative candidate pretty soon.”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: US student loan debt grew from $500B to $2T in 20 years
“In the last 20 years, the student loan debt has ballooned from five hundred billion to two trillion.”
Assertion Contradicted
Calacanis: College degree costs outpaced entry-level wage growth 10x over 20 years
“Increases in the cost of college degrees have outpaced
The wage growth of entry level salaries by 10 X over the last 20 years.”
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Top 10% of earners pay two-thirds of New York's tax base
“Two thirds of the tax base in New York is paid for by the top 10% who are leaving.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sacks: Student debt is the only debt non-dischargeable in bankruptcy
“It's the only kind of debt that you can't get out of through bankruptcy.”
Assertion Partly supported
Friedberg: US student loans currently operate without underwriting
“There's no underwriting in student loans today.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Friedberg: Eliminating federal student loans would force banks to underwrite quality degrees
“What will happen is the capital markets will flood to fill that hole. Banks and lenders will show up and they will say, you know what? We'll underwrite the loans, but they'll underwrite it by saying good colleges get the, get, get loans and bad colleges don't.…”