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Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: People Will Kill Themselves and Others Because of AIs
“And like, at some point people are going to start killing themselves and each other because of AIs.”
Sam Lessin May 2, 2025 ▶ 43:58 How OpenAI Is Beating Google and Meta at Their Own Game · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: The 2024 Presidential Race Is Effectively Over for Democrats
“I just feel like this is over, right? Which I know is not what you're supposed to say, and, like, that helps purpose with town out and the whole nine yards, but, like, you know, Trump just had, like, one of the all-time ten-day periods ever, right?”
Sam Lessin Jul 19, 2024 ▶ 22:34 #56: Trump and the PayPal Mafia · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Lessin: Blackstone has only had one fund over 3x in 40 years
“It's like, in the history of Blackstone, they've raised, what is it, like, call it half a trillion dollars. That's again, that's not the number, but it's an enormous number of capital. They've had, like, one fund in, like, 40 years that has done more than thre…”
Sam Lessin May 24, 2024 ▶ 36:02 #48: Move Fast (But Don't) Break Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Anthropic Is Now a $350 Billion Company
“Anthropik's now a three hundred fifty billion dollar company.”
Sam Lessin Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 14:11 Founders Beware: Illiquid Valuations vs. Real‑World Taxes · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: Tesla will not receive robotaxi regulatory approval this year
“You forgot the most important line, which is you're not going to have regulatory approval.”
Sam Lessin Jul 25, 2025 ▶ 13:33 #109 OpenAI vs Google: The Real Business Model War Begins · More or Less Podcast
TBPN Assertion Supported
Lessin: MrBeast spent more on his Amazon show than his $100M deal
“Like, you know, the, you know, everyone's excited that he gets a hundred million dollar Amazon contract, but then he spends more than that on the show, right?”
Sam Lessin Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 28:21 Sam Lessin on Meta, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing in Creators.
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: DJI announced removal of US restricted airspace flight limits
“At the same time, DJI, like today, announced the drone company that they're no longer limiting drones, like, from flying in restricted airspace in the United States, which I'm sure is actually unrelated, but it's a hilarious story.”
Sam Lessin Jan 17, 2025 ▶ 20:25 #82: TikTok, Trade Wars & Tech 2.0 · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Appointees exploit forced divestment for tax-free asset diversification
“There's this hack where some Goldman Sachs guys got cabinet positions and they're like, well, the reason they did that, or like at some level of seniority of the government is because you are forced to sell, but you don't have to pay taxes on the sale. And so …”
Sam Lessin Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 51:42 #80: More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 2 (Crypto and Antitrust) · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Ultra-wealthy use government cabinet positions to defer capital gains taxes
“There's this hack where some Goldman Sachs guys got cabinet positions and they're like, well, the reason they did that or like at some level of seniority of the government is because you are forced to sell, but you don't have to pay taxes on the sale. And so i…”
Sam Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 18:04 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Telegram is not actually end-to-end encrypted
“Telegram tells this whole story about encryption and pro free speech, but it's actually not end to end encrypted.”
Sam Lessin Aug 30, 2024 ▶ 13:21 #62: Telegram, Free Speech and Its Limits · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: US politicians will not risk banning TikTok before 2024 election
“There's just no chance that in that environment they're gonna, like, risk any youth vote, even if they're terrible, woke people, for the sake of banning TikTok right now. And I think that sucks, because I think it is a huge national security risk, But I think …”
Sam Lessin Mar 8, 2024 ▶ 5:51 #37: TikTok's Latest Crisis, Elon's Emails, AI Monopolies · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Lessin: Apple will not remove TikTok due to China exposure
“Apple's not gonna kick them out. Apple's China exposure is enormous, right? Like, you know, even if they should, they won't, right?”
Sam Lessin Dec 1, 2023 ▶ 12:37 #25: TikTok, Porn and The Immediate Risks of AI · More or Less Podcast
20VC Assertion Supported
Lessin: VC funds are cutting target sizes amid LP pullback
“They're funds, they're cutting fund sizes left and right, and they're combining funds to bulk them up.”
Sam Lessin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 57:36 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Cities will not allow scooter companies to be meaningfully profitable
“I don't think the cities are going to let the scooter companies be profitable or be meaningfully profitable.”
Sam Lessin Feb 4, 2019 ▶ 24:22 20VC: Slow Ventures' Sam Lessin on How VC Forces Certain Companies To Exist and Makes It Difficult To Finance Others, Why Cities Won't Let Scooter Companies Be Profitable and Why Dapps Are A Concern and Where Emphasis Should Be Placed In Crypto
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Gavin Newsom called for Harvard president's resignation over Trump deal
“Gavin Newsom just out of the blue, just like called for the resignation of the president of Harvard for doing like any deal with Donald Trump.”
Sam Lessin Aug 15, 2025 ▶ 8:31 #112 Swift Should Buy Chrome, Not Perplexity · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Lessin: Scale AI competitors are already generating over $1 billion in revenue
“There are other people who do things that are very similar that do more than a billion.”
Sam Lessin Jun 13, 2025 ▶ 44:51 #103: Are Silicon Valley’s Mega-Deals Just Talent Grabs? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: OnlyFans Is Up for Sale
“Nonetheless, OnlyFans, the story is up for sale and there's some really interesting stuff about it.”
Sam Lessin May 30, 2025 ▶ 2:57 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Supported
Lessin: Received more Harvard Board of Overseers votes than Ackman-backed candidates
“Bill Ackman had some people running. I got more votes than him. I got with incredibly close to getting it done, but didn't get it done.”
Sam Lessin May 17, 2025 ▶ 26:29 The Truth About AI: Sam Lessin’s Contrarian Take · Joe Lonsdale
TBPN Prediction Held up
Lessin: Fund-to-fund private sales will increase significantly in venture capital
“Private to private transactions are going to happen way more. Right. Like you're going to look just as it happened in private equity, like funds will sell the funds.”
Sam Lessin Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 12:37 Is Venture Capital Broken? | Sam Lessin on TBPN
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Jelly Jelly Token Hit $200M Market Cap in Six Hours, Says Lessin
“We launched Jelly Jelly, right? Which as pod listeners remember, went in six hours from zero to like over a two hundred million dollar market cap on half a billion in volume, which was all these crazy people playing this game.”
Sam Lessin Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 21:23 #88: Meta’s $200B AI Bet, Instagram Reels & The Future of Content · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: There Is Zero Percent Chance MrBeast Buys TikTok
“Oh, I was short that. There's a zero percent chance.”
Sam Lessin Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 24:20 #83: Trump Inauguration, Stargate, and the Meme Economy · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: EssilorLuxottica Does Not Manufacture Hardware for Meta Smart Glasses
“Look, Sadika, I promise you, is not making the hardware. Like, they make, they print lenses and, like, slap plastic on the brand and make a bunch of money on margin. Like, they're not a manufacturing company.”
Sam Lessin Jul 26, 2024 ▶ 45:30 #57: Zuckerberg’s Open Source AI Manifesto · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: Elon Musk will still run Tesla in 12 months
“Yes. Unless he does some hissy fit about his compensation package and like.”
Sam Lessin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 38:57 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: Dude Perfect will secure $100M for their theme park
“Well, I don't know what's public or not, but they, I don't know if this is public. They're going to have that money.”
Sam Lessin Apr 5, 2024 ▶ 23:22 #41: Is AI Killing Media? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: The US will not ban TikTok in 2024
“No, TikTok won't be banned, but it should be.”
Sam Lessin Dec 22, 2023 ▶ 54:22 #28: What We Got Right and Wrong in ’23 and Calls for ’24 · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: A Bitcoin ETF will finally be approved
“We will get a Bitcoin ETF, finally.”
Sam Lessin Dec 22, 2023 ▶ 1:02:35 #28: What We Got Right and Wrong in ’23 and Calls for ’24 · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: NVIDIA stock will go up regardless of earnings report
“It literally doesn't matter what they report, the stock will go up.”
Sam Lessin Aug 25, 2023 ▶ 43:05 #11: Why hybrid work doesn’t work, long live the phone call · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: The SEC is losing its case against Ripple over XRP
“The reality is, my understanding is, like, the government's basically losing, the SEC's losing the XRP case, right, the Ripple case and, you know.”
Sam Lessin Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 28:08 #1: Apple's head scratchy VR rollout; VR vs. AI in the interface wars; crypto's 'nothing burger'? · More or Less Podcast
20VC Assertion Supported
Lessin: The long tail of mobile apps has failed
“The long tail of apps has mostly failed, right? The real estate and time and attention has been taken up by a few head application publishers.”
Sam Lessin May 25, 2016 ▶ 14:26 20VC: Sam Lessin on Why Bots Will Change Business & The Internet Has Mostly Failed
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Apple is no longer TSMC's largest client
“But they're no longer TSMC's biggest client.”
Sam Lessin Aug 28, 2026 ▶ 50:59 Meta’s $17B Reckoning & Why Parents Can’t Compete With Big Tech's Algorithm · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Lessin: Anthropic tokens cost 100 times more than open-source tokens
“Anthropic tokens cost like a hundred times as much as like the open source tokens, right?”
Sam Lessin Jun 5, 2026 ▶ 21:21 Silicon Valley IPO Summer 2026: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI Explained
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Cursor's store split from VS Code creates app store lock-in issues
“Cursor split the store from VS code because they want to, like, create their own ecosystem that's independent, etc. And the way it all plays out Is VS code is like, no, like the package you need to install to do Garmin watch faces. We're going to control that.…”
Sam Lessin Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 32:10 SaaS Companies Beware: AI Is The New UI (Anthropic's Claude Code and Cowork) · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: US authorities barred private jet traffic at 10 major airports
“There's like 10 airports they've shut down private traffic to that are like really big airports in the country.”
Sam Lessin Nov 14, 2025 ▶ 34:01 Apple’s iPhone Sock, Waymo's Bay Area Expansion, and AI Wearables · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Facebook Sold Logged-Out Homepage Ads Pre-IPO to Boost Revenue
“I remember the era right, right before going public when Facebook was selling a logged out page to try to make money, so I don't want to be too high and mighty about that, but yes.”
Sam Lessin Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 50:31 Oracle's GPU Margins, OpenAI’s Consumer Playbook, and the Ads vs Commerce Endgame · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Meta's New AR Glasses Feature Wristband Input and HUD
“It has a heads-up display that works, so you can, like, use apps inside the glasses, you know, you can you can text and, like, write messages using the screen and, like, the wristband in the headset.”
Sam Lessin Sep 19, 2025 ▶ 36:34 #117 TikTok’s New Owner and Hiring a US CEO? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: Google Added $270B in Market Cap Post-Antitrust Decision
“I mean, the stock is up, what, 10% on this news, which is on a 2.7 trillion dollar, it's like two hundred seventy billion dollars. So what's amazing is that basically it's added half an open AI because of open AI.”
Sam Lessin Sep 6, 2025 ▶ 14:50 #115 Anthropic at $170B: Should Unicorns Be Forced to IPO? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Lessin: Billions of dollars have traded on his Jelly Jelly meme coin
“The biggest one I launched, right, was this Jelly Jelly thing, which went just ballistic... It's like billions and billions of dollars have been traded of this.”
Sam Lessin Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 14:35 #107 Crypto Isn’t for Everyone (And That’s a Good Thing) with Anatoly Yakovenko · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Lessin: The Halal S&P 500 slightly outperforms the standard S&P 500
“And here's the reality is that the S and P 500 halal addition slightly outperforms the actual S and P. Cause it ends up overweight, like medicine and media and tech, right? Which actually outperforms.”
Sam Lessin May 30, 2025 ▶ 12:50 #101: The Business of OnlyFans, Future of Identity, and Navigating Privacy in the AI Age · More or Less Podcast
AMERICAN OPTIMIST Assertion Supported
Lessin: Slow Ventures' seed bet on Solana returned almost 2,000x
“It was almost a 2000 X if you held it a lot more. Right. Cause we did distribute it.”
Sam Lessin May 17, 2025 ▶ 16:07 The Truth About AI: Sam Lessin’s Contrarian Take · Joe Lonsdale
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Lessin: Meta flipped its Ray-Ban companion app into an AI chatbot
“What they did is they took the vision app, they renamed it, they threw a gatekeeper up and flipped it into the chat app. And then it also has the connected glasses in it as in the background.”
Sam Lessin May 2, 2025 ▶ 11:40 How OpenAI Is Beating Google and Meta at Their Own Game · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: NYC traffic is down roughly 7% under congestion pricing
“To be clear, it's, I think what I saw somewhere pass through some feed is like, it's something like down seven percent, but that seven percent is an enormous amount in terms of the marginal impact.”
Sam Lessin Jan 17, 2025 ▶ 47:15 #82: TikTok, Trade Wars & Tech 2.0 · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin predicts a Solana ETF will launch in 2025
“I'd say Solana ETF, which will be great.”
Sam Lessin Dec 20, 2024 ▶ 54:13 #78: 2024 Tech Company of the Year + 2025 Predictions · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Sam Lessin: San Francisco schools are adopting Waymo drop-off rules
“Well, but we do know, we know of some schools in San Francisco that now have Waymo drop-off roles for the kids.”
Sam Lessin Oct 18, 2024 ▶ 48:07 #69: Robots, Rockets, and Elon Hype · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Lessin: Truth Social heavily shorted with shares to borrow running out
“It was shorted so much that there was a danger of it going through the roof because there were out of shares.”
Sam Lessin Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 59:24 #43: TikTok’s New App, Tesla’s Sunken Stock, Are Tech Workers Leaving Silicon Valley For Good? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Held up
Sam Lessin: YouTube TV will surpass Dish subscribers by year-end
“YouTube will definitely have more subscribers than Dish by the next time we check in on this.”
Sam Lessin Jan 26, 2024 ▶ 52:25 #31: Fintech Struggles, Netflix Rises and 'Big' is Winning · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Supported
Lessin: Ukraine Is Burning Through Roughly 60,000 Drones a Month
“You know, I heard a statistic recently that right now in Ukraine, I could be off by a little bit, but they're going through something like 60,000 drones a month.”
Sam Lessin Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 12:14 #23: Why (and How) SMBs and Creators Will Win With AI, the New Financing Contracts, and More · More or Less Podcast
20VC Prediction Held up
Lessin: Exceptionally low startup mortality rates will inevitably rise
“We've looked at our portfolios recently and it's comical how low the mortality rates are. That's obviously shifting in real time, right? And will go up.”
Sam Lessin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 7:46 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Lessin: Muck Rack Raised Zero VC Money Until Late Private Equity Round
“By far, the most successful company come out of that is a company called Muckrack, right? Unbelievable success, right? And it was a team in the corner that actually took zero dollars of VC, Right? Until very, very late in the game when they did a private equit…”
Sam Lessin Aug 11, 2023 ▶ 15:15 DEBATE: State of Seed Investing w/ Jason Lemkin, Sam Lessin, Frank Rotman & Harry Stebbings | E1047 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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