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20VC Disclosure
Zeev: I banned an LP who complained about rapid fund deployment
“I had a, an LP who joined in the third fund, and four months later, I tell him that you know, I'm raising our fine for, I finished, I'm raising, and he totally freaked out, and he started lecturing me on, he didn't call it what you called it, he called it vint…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 7:25 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Zeev: Predictions that AI will kill software incumbents are provocative BS
“So the bottom line is, I think this notion that all the incumbents are going to die, you know, this notion that is being promoted by some People who I think whose main motivation is to make provocative statements, you know and get attention as thought leaders …”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 9:32 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: GP-level diversification provides no value to LPs
“By the way, from the LP perspective, diversification at the level of the GP makes no sense, because they have multiple GPs, so, so the diversification gives nothing to LPs.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 28:06 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Zeev will not change deployment pace for LP vintage preferences
“I'm going to do my thing, and if it works for them, fine, and if not, they can opt themselves out, and some of them have, and it's fine. Good people opted out, and it's fine. I'm not going to do things differently.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 28:54 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Opinion
Oren Zeev: Traditional mid-sized VC partnerships are in deep trouble
“If you are traditional five, six person partnership without anything Very, very, very unique and special in the friendship that you bring to the table, then yes, I think you are in trouble because it's almost like, you know, worse off. On one hand, you're not …”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 35:01 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: Mid-Tier VCs Inflate Paper Marks to Survive Fundraising
“However, if you if you are a fund that is more middle of the road and you're not sure how Is it gonna be a raise or not? You're gonna find any excuse to keep the prices up, right? To look good on paper.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 37:47 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: Partners in large VC firms prioritize personal deals over fund performance
“You know, if the typical, if a partner in a in a partnership, especially large partnership with some, with politics and all that they're much more interested in their investments succeeding than anything else because that's their career.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 48:18 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: VCs should not be price sensitive on high-growth companies
“In general, I don't think one should be overly price sensitive. Obviously, you know, you have to have some discipline, but the reality is that if you're dealing with companies that are growing at over a hundred percent per year, and you believe it's sustainabl…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 12:10 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: VC partnerships drive investment decisions toward mediocrity, not exceptionalism
“So that's another example where I think that You know, a partnership can drive things more towards mediocrity as opposed to exceptionalism.”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 23:57 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Zeev: LPs are wildly over-diversified with 20 to 40 GP relationships
“I would say that on the LP side, I think they're way over-diversified because most of them have 20, 30, 40 relationships. That's crazy because each of their underlying investments or funds is also very diversified. It's not very likely to lose money. So each, …”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 27:57 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: Multi-partner VC approval dynamics force investors into persuasion mode
“When I quote unquote consult with people in a partnership model, I'm also in a persuasion mode or a sale mode because I need to get it approved. So I think just naturally, and I think everyone is like that, you're just less receptive. First of all, you're just…”
Oren Zeev Jun 29, 2020 ▶ 7:51 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Is Overrated, The Downside of Thematic Investing, Making Quality Decisions In Uncertain Conditions & Why He Has No Reserves Allocation
20VC Opinion
Zeev: Diversification in venture capital is overrated and funds are over-diversified
“I think diversification is way overrated. I think that VC funds are generally way over diversified”
Oren Zeev Jun 29, 2020 ▶ 18:39 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Is Overrated, The Downside of Thematic Investing, Making Quality Decisions In Uncertain Conditions & Why He Has No Reserves Allocation
20VC Disclosure
Zeev Ventures keeps little to no follow-on reserves in its funds
“I pretty much do not keep reserves, or keep very, very little, and the reason is, because I do cross-fund, I don't feel that I need to keep reserves, because I can invest from the next fund, if I want to”
Oren Zeev Jun 29, 2020 ▶ 21:28 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Is Overrated, The Downside of Thematic Investing, Making Quality Decisions In Uncertain Conditions & Why He Has No Reserves Allocation
20VC Insight
Zeev: Deals requiring heavy due diligence are not obvious enough to back
“Sometimes LPs ask me, how do you do diligence, and I tell them I don't, and I exaggerate a little bit, because sometimes I make a few phone calls, but I'm not exaggerating by much, and usually there is, like, silence. They've never heard it before, and then I …”
Oren Zeev Jun 29, 2020 ▶ 27:57 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Is Overrated, The Downside of Thematic Investing, Making Quality Decisions In Uncertain Conditions & Why He Has No Reserves Allocation
20VC Insight
Zeev: Founder secondaries increase ambition by reducing personal financial pressure
“The fact that you let them Take money off the table actually brings better alignment. Even a significant amount, even if it's five or ten million, they're much more likely to try to hit for the fences and not take the first couple of hundred million dollar acq…”
Oren Zeev Jun 29, 2020 ▶ 31:31 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Is Overrated, The Downside of Thematic Investing, Making Quality Decisions In Uncertain Conditions & Why He Has No Reserves Allocation
20VC Insight
Zeev: Portfolio diversification fails in venture capital during market downturns
“In terms of diversification, if I learned anything, is that the diversification doesn't work, because when things turn south like that, then diversification is not going to save you, because everything goes down, and because everything is very correlated.”
Oren Zeev Nov 6, 2017 ▶ 5:30 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Does Not Work, Thesis Based Investing Is Sceptical & Partners Mostly Stay Together For LPs
20VC Insight
Zeev: Many VC partnerships hide severe internal dysfunction from LPs
“I think many, many partnerships are much more dysfunctional Then you would see from the outside, and there is a lot of, often, tensions between, you would think that partners need to be, you know, you would expect that partners are best friends, and really thi…”
Oren Zeev Nov 6, 2017 ▶ 10:13 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Does Not Work, Thesis Based Investing Is Sceptical & Partners Mostly Stay Together For LPs
20VC Insight
Zeev: VCs should write off investments if they know more than the founder
“If I know better than them, that's a horrible sign. I should just, I, you know, I should write the investment off if I think I know better than the founder.”
Oren Zeev Nov 6, 2017 ▶ 16:44 20VC: Oren Zeev on Why Diversification Does Not Work, Thesis Based Investing Is Sceptical & Partners Mostly Stay Together For LPs
20VC Disclosure
Zeev: I take zero income from fund management fees
“By the way, I pay myself zero. I don't see anything, which is very unusual. I don't know any VC in the world that has zero income. From the management fees.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 0:21 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zeev: Navan faces zero risk of AI disruption and will benefit hugely
“Now, specifically with Navan, which a company I know well, I'm a hundred percent convinced that there's zero chance that we get disrupted by AI, and there is a hundred percent chance that we're huge beneficiaries of AI.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 6:25 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: Technology is only 5% of defensibility in complex businesses
“The more operationally complex a business is, the more it's about distribution. The more it's about integration with source and with other pieces of software or content in the case of Navan or part of the ecosystem, the more the more it's in a regulated, this …”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 8:31 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zeev: Adapting incumbent software companies will be huge AI beneficiaries
“Companies that on one hand are not, many companies are not easy to disrupt, and as long as they don't fall asleep on the wheel, and as long as they navigate, you know, they adapt they're going to be huge beneficiaries of AI.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 10:21 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Disclosure
Zeev: Only one in thousands of AI customer support startups will succeed
“One, you know, one of them is going to be successful, but there's a thousand or two, but there's a thousands that are not. So I'm not, at the very early stages, I don't trust my intuition enough to know which one of the thousand is going to be successful.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 11:16 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Assertion Supported
Navan was the first company to conduct COVID layoffs over Zoom
“They were the first company to let people go. And they got so much shit on, ah, for it because they fired people Over Zoom, as if there was any other way they could have, and they still got a lot of shit from the press”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 26:30 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Disclosure
Zeev: Overpaid by 3x to 4x on every 2021 deal
“Well, I think in general in twenty-twenty-one, pretty much every deal that I did, most actually I shouldn't because these are quality companies, but every single deal I probably paid. Three or four X, what I should have, because that was the market.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 30:12 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Oren Zeev: Over 50% of VC funds will fail to raise again
“At least 50% of the funds today, and maybe more, either cannot raise, or at least are not sure that they can raise, or they're trying to stall and, you know, not test the market, and I think many of them are not gonna be able to raise.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 36:24 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Opinion
Zeev: Top VC Funds Like Sequoia Have Zero Incentive to Inflate Paper Marks
“If you're a fund that's, let's, let's say Sequoia, for example, they know that they can raise any time, right? So they have zero motivation to inflate numbers. They have all the motivation in the world to show things as conservatively as possible, right? Becau…”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 37:28 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: Accountants Cannot Effectively Audit Venture Valuation Marks
“Are not good rail guards from that perspective, because even if they challenge valuations, they always challenge the wrong things, and they always, it's complete lack of understanding what, you know, because how, why would they know what, you know, what compan…”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 38:20 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Assertion Supported
Zeev: Management fees exceed carry value in mega VC funds
“Look, especially in the larger funds the compensation that the V, that the GP gets from the management fee, especially if you account for time value of money is typically greater than the than the upside.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 46:03 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: Startups lacking PMF after two years should be valued below their seed round
“The very fact that after a year or two they don't have signs of product market fit, maybe it means that, you know, it should be worth less than what it was worth at the seed, because at the seed you had the option value of maybe within a year or two you will h…”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 52:27 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: Founders should accept preemptive rounds but maintain low burn
“My advice is take the money. But continue to behave as if you didn't. Don't spend money just because you have it. You know, companies can be overfunded, and, ah, it can lead to loss of focus, so if the founder's mature enough and strong enough to take the mone…”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 53:38 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: Refuses to give LPs strategy promises to maintain investing flexibility
“And that's exactly why I don't tell LPs anything in terms of what I'm going to do, because I feel that if I tell LPs something, I would feel too committed to that specific strategy, which I may have thought it was the right strategy, but then there's a situati…”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 58:17 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Opinion
Zeev: Anti-rich sentiment is rising in America, following Europe
“I find that there is an increasing level of hating the successful, hating the rich. I see it on Twitter. I think in Europe it's even worse, but it's come to America, unfortunately.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 1:03:01 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Opinion
Zeev: Progressive movement is undermining American meritocracy
“Let's say that I'm not a fan of the movement or the work movement that is You know, dragging or trying to drag America in the other direction.”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 1:04:34 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Insight
Zeev: VC anti-portfolios are fallacious because seeing deals doesn't mean winning
“This is one thing that is, Consistent fallacy within VCs that they think that just because they saw a deal, they necessarily would have been able to do it. No, you know with all due to anti-portfolio, it doesn't make sense that the same deal appears in 20 diff…”
Oren Zeev Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 1:10:34 Oren Zeev: Why AI Growth Expectations Are BS & Won't Last? Why GPs Shouldn't Tell LPs Their Strategy
20VC Disclosure
Zeev: I raised $1B in 2021 and am raising another $500M
“Because in 2000, in 2021, I raised three funds total, total about a billion, and then now I'm raising another five hundred million.”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 5:55 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Zeev: I keep zero capital reserves for follow-on investments
“And I don't keep reserves, so I, you know, invested, you know, invested at all.”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 6:05 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: LPs achieve vintage diversification simply by re-upping in annual funds
“If I raise a fund every year and they just are in every fund, they do get the you know, even if one fund is not what he called vintage diversified, they would be vintage diversified if they care about it. I don't care about it, but if they do, you know, they c…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 8:27 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: Founders should shut down failing startups before running completely dry
“If you decide to give up a month or two too late, the agony And the lack of dignity. And the pain is like 10 times, you know, when you decide to stop in time, you have enough time to do it in an organized fashion, to make sure that everyone is taken care of, t…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 16:18 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Zeev: I bought a 3% stake in Uber Freight from Anthony Levandowski
“I had an opportunity when Uber Freight spun out of Uber. I had a very unique opportunity to get ownership and the ownership that I, to buy ownership from actually from the from Anthony Lindowski, the guy who allegedly or not allegedly actually, because it was …”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 19:20 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: Follow-on investments should never be about protecting ownership percentages
“So I think that's another idea that to me, it's never about protecting the ownership. You know, if I put my money in a company again, It doesn't matter if it's a full on or new. It's because I want to put new money, not because I put something in the past and …”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 25:54 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: VCs with high hit rates only need 5 to 8 companies
“I do think that the number of course, some absolute number, I think that the higher the Probability of success of the underlying, of each individual underlying investment is the less diversification you need. If you believe that every deal that you do has 50% …”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 27:19 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: Institutional LP diligence processes add absolutely no value
“Something must be wrong in an industry where they take, you know, weeks and sometimes more to make a decision that is like, they knew what the decision was before they started to do, you know, the work and the work has no value whatsoever. It's just that that'…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 31:59 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: In VC secondaries, you can never sell what you want
“I think that I have a very, very special rule, which is almost always true, which is the ones that you want to sell, you can't, and the one that you can sell, you don't want to sell.”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 40:13 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC What-if
Zeev: Audible would be worth $50B to $100B today if independent
“Today, I believe that Audible would probably be worth 50, a hundred billion.”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 42:53 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Zeev: I never want to have venture partners again
“The conclusion from these two instances, especially from the second one was that I never want to have partners again. Okay. So that was my takeaway that I don't want to have partners that I, you know, I want to own my own mistakes and own, I don't want to suff…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 43:22 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: Quick 2-3x venture exits are worth taking via capital recycling
“And this is a teachable moment for me because next time, if the risk is that I only make two or three X, quickly, not after five years, then I should have done it. And I'll tell you why, because I totally forgot that I could recycle the money. So in the unfort…”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 45:52 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Zeev: Founders are the true customers of VCs, not LPs
“That, you know, that it's all about being the best alternative for the founders. The founders are the customers, not the LPs. And the customer's always right. And we work for the founders.”
Oren Zeev May 24, 2022 ▶ 46:55 Oren Zeev: How I Raised $1 BILLION in 12 Months | 20VC #888 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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