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20VC Opinion
Nicole Quinn: TAM is unimportant because great consumer companies create markets
“So this is contrarian, but I actually don't think that TAM is very important. The greatest consumer companies of our time have been created in very small markets.”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 8:23 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Quinn: OpenAI's app store will become a major new search channel
“If OpenAI really do the, like, app store of AI, then that's gonna be, like, a new search.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 0:04 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Quinn: Startups should accept significant down rounds over structured deal terms
“I would much rather take a significant down round than having structure on that. And so that's what I'm really encouraging our portfolio companies to do.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 30:30 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Quinn: Startups die more often from indigestion than starvation
“Companies die from indigestion rather than starvation.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 34:04 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2028
Quinn: Venture investors will return to syndicate co-investing across rounds
“I think we spent far too many years with the multi-stage funds and then suddenly realizing, wow, now I'm the only one on the cap table. There's no one else to turn to. There's no one else around to like help support this company with me. And so I think we're g…”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 40:18 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Insight
Nicole Quinn: Brand is a key network effect that outweighs TAM
“I certainly believe that brand is a key network effect. And yes, user economics, TAM are important, but at the end of the day, your margins and the size of the market, not quite as important if no one's buying your product.”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 7:09 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Nicole Quinn: DTC cosmetics brands achieve 95% gross margins rivaling SaaS
“And I am regularly meeting these digitally native vertical brands which have SaaS type margins. You look at cosmetics, for example, and a lot of these cosmetics brands have 95% margins, and so they are just as attractive, if not more attractive, than the margi…”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 9:44 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Opinion
Nicole Quinn: Amazon is not your friend and clones successful products
“My view is always that Amazon is not your friend. They are maybe increasing the size of the overall pie. They are making companies' lives very, very difficult, and anything that's working, they see, and they decide to go after.”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 13:35 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Opinion
Quinn: Higher valuations for AI startups are worth paying
“The valuations are gonna be slightly higher, but honestly, that's worth paying for.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 0:10 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Quinn: Seed stage startup valuations have not dropped in over ten years
“Like the valuations in Seed have not dropped. And we've looked at this data really over like 10 plus years.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 7:55 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Quinn: Klarna chose a 90% down round over heavy deal structure
“I think Klan is a good example in Europe, right? And they do a 90% down round rather than taking like a lot of structure because that structure then sticks with you for multiple rounds.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 30:40 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Nicole Quinn: Allbirds physical retail stores reach profitability in months
“Clearly all birds have just raised around to focus on retail expansion, and you can see that these retail stores are profitable in a matter of months. Often they're cost-neutral marketing channels.”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 10:21 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nicole Quinn: The next major computing platform will be voice-first
“My belief is actually that the next platform will be voice first,”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 11:37 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Assertion Partly supported
Nicole Quinn: Estee Lauder and L'Oreal acquire startups at 7x forward revenue
“If you look at the beauty brands, Estee Lauder and L'Oreal are acquiring these companies on seven times forward year revenue multiples.”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 15:06 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Nicole Quinn: Estee Lauder projects 95% of future growth from acquisitions
“Estee Lauder will publicly say, we think that 95% of our growth for the next 10 years is going to come through acquisitions.”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 15:52 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Nicole Quinn: Lightspeed requires a 33% DAU/MAU ratio for social apps
“So we like to think about DAU divided by MAU. If you're A social media app , then we want it to be over a third. If it can be over 50%, then it really is a daily use case, and that's exactly what we saw from Snapchat back in the day, but we definitely need for…”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 23:26 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Assertion Supported
Quinn: Lightspeed's fund sizes grew from $700M to $7B in ten years
“When I started a decade ago, we were raising seven hundred million dollar funds. They're now seven billion dollar funds.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 1:52 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Opinion
Quinn: Facebook paying 10% of its market cap for WhatsApp was justified
“Was it worth 10% of Facebook's market cap to buy WhatsApp? Absolutely.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 20:16 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Quinn: Lightspeed has deployed over $1B across 54 AI startups
“We've invested at lightspeed in 54 companies in AI. We've spent, we've invested over a billion dollars in AI, but big, but that was not all this year. That is not all generative AI, right? That's been over the few years, over the last few years”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 21:22 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Quinn: AI tools will save users two to three hours per day
“I would say AI is akin to winning the lottery. And what I mean by that is it is the lottery of time. So in your, like, say, 10 hour working day, you spend maybe an hour writing a newsletter. Well, that could get compressed down to 10 minutes, right? You have B…”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 24:23 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Quinn: Startups growing 2x to 5x year-over-year will continue getting funded
“There is a crunch in terms of valuation. Definitely that is coming down, but I do still believe the best teams and the ones that are growing, you know, two, three, four, five X year on year, they will continue to get funded.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 27:24 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Quinn: The IPO market is looking miserable
“The IPO market is looking miserable. That window is not exactly wide open to say the least.”
Nicole Quinn Nov 17, 2023 ▶ 37:21 Roundtable #6 with Rebecca Kaden, Nicole Quinn, Eurie Kim, Harry Stebbings | E1083 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Disclosure
Nicole Quinn: Lightspeed avoids e-commerce startups with 30% gross margins
“So if we're bringing a 30% gross margin e-commerce company to the table, then that to us is not going to quite hit the bill or cut the mustard.”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 9:28 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Disclosure
Nicole Quinn: Lightspeed requires $1B+ acquisitions to return its $1.2B fund
“We definitely need billion dollar plus acquisition to move the needle for our funders at 1.2 billion dollars.”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 16:49 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Insight
Nicole Quinn: Board members provide peripheral vision, founders drive the car
“It's not the VC's job to grab the wheel at the end of the day. It is your job to have the periphery vision. So if the founder's the driver, it's your job to have the periphery vision and say, hey, there's this thing happening over here. I just want to make sur…”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 22:12 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
20VC Disclosure
Nicole Quinn: Zola customers refer 2.2 other couples to the platform
“We've invested in Rothy's and Zola, and if you speak to Zola for every customer that has their wedding on Zola, they refer to point to other couples to also have their registry on Zola, the online wedding registry business.”
Nicole Quinn Oct 25, 2017 ▶ 7:44 20VC: Lightspeed's Nicole Quinn on Why We Are Not In A Consumer Downturn, Why M&A Has Not Been This Exciting For A Long Time & Why Amazon Is Never Your Friend
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